How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Universidad de Concepcion vs Sporting Cristal+18.6-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
LDU vs Olimpia-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Olimpia vs Universidad de Concepcion-17.4-2.0+18.6
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Sporting Cristal vs LDU-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Universidad de Concepcion finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100159,056*
155-0-1In991198,115
144-2-0In1000196,637
134-1-1In937623,949
124-0-299.8%72280494,380
3-3-0In937165,176
113-2-199.968310785,250
103-1-294.0306461,247,456
2-4-099.56237078,699
93-0-361.7359381661,495
2-3-188.9206911493,789
82-2-246.71465211,179,620
1-5-082.011711819,761
72-1-39.2968221,246,843
1-4-127.4027676155,789
62-0-40.403960495,707
1-3-23.435839495,402
0-6-017.81873102,097
51-2-30.102773784,604
0-5-10.71445519,839
41-1-4Out892624,010
0-4-20.00148677,501
31-0-5Out199198,730
0-3-3Out397164,722
20-2-4Out0100196,832
0-1Out100158,877*
Total:50.0%2525252510,924,336

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Universidad de Concepcion vs Sporting Cristal-4.3+0.7+3.9
LDU vs Olimpia+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Olimpia vs Universidad de Concepcion+3.9+0.7-4.3
Sporting Cristal vs LDU+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-078192000
155-0-1503511200010
144-2-0283923820000
134-1-18222821103107000
124-0-2141118191351207100000
3-3-01617252414516100
113-2-10027152117613125100000
103-1-2000151113615181483105100
2-4-000141224226111162100000
93-0-300002015101515932013410000
2-3-1000031602714191682731000
82-2-2010001410171481615941000
1-5-001100281926154652100
72-1-300027139151918148410000
1-4-100016201512171712621000
62-0-4000000136131921181252000
1-3-2003000141017211913721000
0-6-00170138152017115100
51-2-300000251118232113610
0-5-1100139172222157200
41-1-40000139172525154
0-4-200001513222621102
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-30001413283519
20-2-40002113650
10-1-50021978
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333