"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Melgar vs San Lorenzo+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Junior vs Palmeiras-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs Melgar-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
San Lorenzo vs Junior-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Melgar finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100479,406*
155-0-1In991615,141
144-2-0In1000607,340
134-1-1In9371,962,221
124-0-299.8%722701,578,663
3-3-0In937518,600
113-2-199.9693102,499,762
103-1-294.1316363,997,002
2-4-099.462381245,833
93-0-361.93593812,125,332
2-3-188.92069111,580,812
82-2-246.61465213,777,263
1-5-080.410702062,477
72-1-39.1968233,999,102
1-4-126.6027676499,171
61-3-23.2357401,581,283
2-0-40.4039611,579,839
0-6-016.11673116,457
51-2-30.1027732,496,120
0-5-10.61425762,546
41-1-4Out8921,961,121
0-4-20.001486246,426
31-0-5Out199614,646
0-3-3Out397519,046
20-2-4Out0100607,380
0-1Out100479,619*
Total:50.0%2525252534,702,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Melgar vs San Lorenzo-3.9+1.2+4.4
Junior vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Palmeiras vs Melgar+3.4+0.2-4.8
San Lorenzo vs Junior+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-09640
165-1-079192000
155-0-1523511200010
144-2-03039227100000
134-1-19232820103106000
124-0-2141219191251206100000
3-3-01617252414515100
113-2-100271521176131251000000
103-1-20000251113615181473105100
2-4-000131123235111173100100
93-0-3000301511151592201341000
2-3-1000317027141917927310000
82-2-200100014101614816159410000
1-5-0010002718261747521000
72-1-300027139151818148410000
1-4-1000152014101617137310000
61-3-200300014916212014831000
2-0-4000000137131921181252000
0-6-00160027141919137210
51-2-3000000151018232114620
0-5-11000137152123179310
41-1-40000138172525165
0-4-200001411202622123
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-3001312273622
20-2-40002113552
10-1-500021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333