Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength5/12
Argentinos JuniorsWAtletico Nacional 2-093-0-06100.0%+1.598201.0+0.193.837U. CatolicaAsociacion Atletica Argentinos Juniors
Sao Paulo72-1-0599.8+0.08911001.19.837at RentistasSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Flamengo93-0-0599.5+0.093611.13.645at Union La CaleraClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Barcelona SC93-0-0799.4-0.08613101.12.837at The StrongestBarcelona Sporting Club
Palmeiras93-0-0799.4+0.093711.11.728at I. del ValleSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MG72-1-0598.4+0.08811201.16.734at America de CaliClube Atletico Mineiro
Internacional62-0-1795.1+0.35936411.5-0.147.728at Deportivo TachiraSport Club Internacional
Racing51-2-0192.4+0.01181712.09.584at Sporting CristalRacing Club de Avellaneda
Always ReadyWDeportivo Tachira 2-062-0-1392.2+25.54053711.7+0.557.685OlimpiaClub Always Ready
Boca Juniors62-0-1285.8-0.013731402.05.713at SantosClub Atletico Boca Juniors
River PlateTSanta Fe 0-051-2-0184.9+4.350351231.7+0.1111.584at Junior BarranquillaClub Atletico River Plate
FluminenseTJunior Barranquilla 1-151-2-0182.0+1.942401441.8+0.0211.557Santa FeFluminense Football Club
Atletico NacionalLArgentinos Juniors 0-241-1-1070.2-11.81692192.4-0.3319.487NacionalCorporacion Deportiva Club Atletico Nacional
Defensa y Justicia41-1-1268.0-0.06623112.318.607at UniversitarioClub Social y Deportivo Defensa y Justicia
LDU41-1-1166.95622762.319.525at Velez SarsfieldLiga Deportiva Universitaria
La GuairaAmerica de Cali210-2-0059.5-0.195129122.417.477Cerro PortenoDeportivo La Guaira
Cerro Porteno41-1-1-233.7+0.133151162.814.330at La GuairaClub Cerro Porteno
I. del Valle41-1-1-131.9+0.02306442.711.443PalmeirasC.A.R.E. Independiente del Valle
Velez Sarsfield31-0-2-228.7+0.012753192.923.390LDUClub Atletico Velez Sarsfield
U. Catolica31-0-2-317.7+6.101843393.2+0.0927.289at Argentinos JuniorsClub Deportivo Universidad Catolica
Junior BarranquillaTFluminense 1-120-2-1-117.5-1.841337453.2-0.0331.418River PlateCorporacion Popular Deportiva Junior
Santa FeTRiver Plate 0-020-2-1-115.6-4.441237473.3-0.1131.390at FluminenseClub Independiente Santa Fe
Santos31-0-2114.7+0.01148232.921.541Boca JuniorsSantos Futebol Clube
Nacional10-1-2-312.2+4.301235533.4+0.0625.376at Atletico NacionalClub Nacional de Football
America de Caliat La Guaira010-0-2-38.4-0.00819733.628.303Atletico-MGCorporacion Deportiva America
Olimpia31-0-2-57.7-4.31751413.3+0.0715.330at Always ReadyClub Olimpia
Rentistas20-2-1-25.5-0.00557383.322.261Sao PauloClub Atletico Rentistas
Deportivo TachiraLAlways Ready 0-231-0-2-55.1-21.51437573.5-0.4815.279InternacionalDeportivo Tachira Futbol Club
Union La Calera10-1-2-44.9-0.00520763.725.301FlamengoClub de Deportes Union La Calera
Sporting Cristal10-1-2-42.3-0.00236613.630.204RacingClub Sporting Cristal
Universitario00-0-3-80.7-0.0015943.929.204Defensa y JusticiaClub Universitario de Deportes
The Strongest00-0-3-100.0003974.024.137Barcelona SCClub The Strongest

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/4
Atletico-MG 4 Cerro Porteno 0
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+20.0
+0.5
La Guaira-5.5
Cerro Porteno-13.2
-0.4
America de Cali-1.3
Internacional 6 Olimpia 1
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Internacional+16.4
+0.4
Always Ready+0.2
Olimpia-16.1
-0.4
Deportivo Tachira-0.6
Always Ready 2 Deportivo Tachira 0
7:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Always Ready+15.9
+0.3
Olimpia-1.7
Deportivo Tachira-14.3
-0.3
U. Catolica 2 Nacional 1
11:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Argentinos Juniors+1.2
Atletico Nacional+6.3
U. Catolica+5.8
+0.4
Nacional-13.3
-0.4
LDU 2 Flamengo 3
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+4.8
+0.3
LDU-12.0
-0.4
Velez Sarsfield+3.1
Union La Calera+4.1
Union La Calera 0 Velez Sarsfield 1
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LDU-0.5
Velez Sarsfield+10.7
+0.4
Union La Calera-10.1
-0.4
I. del Valle 4 Universitario 0
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Defensa y Justicia-1.1
I. del Valle+8.3
+0.4
Universitario-7.2
-0.4
Defensa y Justicia 1 Palmeiras 2
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+2.7
+0.3
Defensa y Justicia-8.1
-0.3
I. del Valle+2.7
Universitario+2.7
Atletico Nacional 0 Argentinos Juniors 2
7:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Argentinos Juniors+1.4
+0.2
Atletico Nacional-8.0
-0.2
U. Catolica+3.7
Nacional+3.0
Rentistas 0 Sporting Cristal 0
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.8
Racing+5.0
Rentistas-4.8
-0.1
Sporting Cristal-0.9
+0.0
Junior Barranquilla 1 Fluminense 1
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
River Plate+0.9
+0.1
Fluminense+0.3
-0.0
Junior Barranquilla-2.6
-0.1
Santa Fe+1.4
+0.0
Santa Fe 0 River Plate 0
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
River Plate+0.4
-0.0
Fluminense+0.9
+0.1
Junior Barranquilla+1.4
Santa Fe-2.6
-0.1
Racing 0 Sao Paulo 0
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.2
+0.0
Racing+1.3
+0.0
Rentistas-1.1
Sporting Cristal-0.4
Santos 5 The Strongest 0
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boca Juniors-0.2
Santos+1.4
+0.3
The Strongest-1.1
-0.3
Barcelona SC 1 Boca Juniors 0
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona SC+1.2
+0.3
Boca Juniors-1.2
-0.3
La Guaira vs America de CaliIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
11:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
La Guaira73.549.432.7
2.22.63.0
Cerro Porteno26.442.343.7
2.82.72.8
America de Cali2.09.524.9
3.83.63.2
Week of 5/12
La Guaira vs Cerro PortenoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
La Guaira81.849.316.7
2.12.63.1
Cerro Porteno11.840.678.9
3.12.72.1
America de Cali7.811.66.4
Velez Sarsfield vs LDUHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LDU28.669.393.8
2.92.32.0
Velez Sarsfield66.524.53.3
2.32.93.3
Atletico Nacional vs NacionalHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atletico Nacional88.366.936.8
2.12.42.9
U. Catolica11.326.722.0
3.23.13.3
Nacional0.56.441.3
3.73.52.8
Fluminense vs Santa FeHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fluminense93.980.053.7
1.51.92.4
Junior Barranquilla15.020.221.0
3.23.23.3
Santa Fe5.014.743.6
3.53.32.6
Santos vs Boca JuniorsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boca Juniors56.892.899.9
2.42.01.8
Santos44.67.70.2
2.52.93.1
Always Ready vs OlimpiaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Internacional96.094.491.5
1.51.41.3
Always Ready98.190.364.3
1.51.82.3
Olimpia2.08.435.9
3.53.32.7
Deportivo Tachira3.86.98.3
3.53.63.7
Junior Barranquilla vs River PlateHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
River Plate65.786.896.5
2.21.71.4
Fluminense77.482.884.5
1.71.71.9
Junior Barranquilla39.313.55.4
2.73.33.5
Universitario vs Defensa y JusticiaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Defensa y Justicia42.759.276.4
2.72.42.2
I. del Valle52.840.924.3
2.62.62.8
Universitario4.70.2Out
3.73.94.0
I. del Valle vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras97.299.9In
1.21.11.0
Defensa y Justicia47.465.976.7
2.42.32.2
I. del Valle55.233.622.5
2.42.72.8
Argentinos Juniors vs U. CatolicaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Argentinos JuniorsIn99.999.5
1.01.01.1
Atletico Nacional72.966.050.2
2.32.42.6
U. Catolica14.123.043.5
3.33.12.6
Nacional12.911.16.9
3.43.53.7
Deportivo Tachira vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Internacional78.993.498.6
1.91.61.3
Always Ready87.591.893.1
1.51.61.8
Olimpia10.99.46.4
3.53.43.3
Deportivo Tachira22.85.31.9
3.03.53.6
Sporting Cristal vs RacingHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Racing72.091.597.2
2.32.01.9
Rentistas12.87.83.0
3.43.33.3
Sporting Cristal15.40.80.0
3.23.63.7
America de Cali vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG93.797.699.6
1.41.21.1
La Guaira54.059.960.4
2.52.42.4
America de Cali22.29.55.4
3.23.63.7
Rentistas vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo97.599.8100.0
1.31.21.1
Racing81.190.793.9
Rentistas19.57.23.8
2.93.33.4
Sporting Cristal3.93.63.6
Union La Calera vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flamengo97.799.4In
1.21.11.0
LDU61.6*67.068.3
Velez Sarsfield26.9*28.729.2
3.02.92.8
Union La Calera13.9*4.92.4
3.43.73.8
The Strongest vs Barcelona SCHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona SC95.898.899.8
1.41.21.1
Boca Juniors1.81.92.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.