Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 95.8%
5-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay 16 Dallas 30 +0.2
+0.1
Seattle 26 Atlanta 24 -0.1
Arizona 28 NY Jets 3 -0.1
Washington 27 Philadelphia 20 -0.1
+0.0
New Orleans 41 Carolina 38 -0.1
Detroit 31 Los Angeles 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Minnesota-2.1+1.4+2.6
-0.4+0.2+0.5
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.3+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Washington-0.2+0.3+0.2
Arizona vs Seattle-0.0+0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In10010,619,876*
1510-1-0In1000068,917,950
9-0-2In100235
14.59-1-1In1000438,703
149-2-0In973000203,487,203
8-1-2In9821,225
13.58-2-1In9550001,157,436
7-1-3In1002
138-3-0In82171000354,266,688
7-2-2In8415002,934
12.57-3-1In73252001,782,891
6-2-3In67333
127-4-0100.0%464291200404,418,849
6-3-2In48428013,914
11.56-4-1100.029491713001,770,914
5-3-3In1457297
116-5-099.9103934782000318,037,127
5-4-299.911403478103,341
10.55-5-199.622642141140001,186,001
4-4-3In33673
105-6-093.20103424111461000175,867,102
4-5-294.40936261112511,823
9.54-6-181.902223172014400543,125
3-5-375.02550254
94-7-048.60092421322198200068,404,997
3-6-250.409272132319610700
8.53-7-124.90218041930206100168,179
2-6-333.33333333
83-8-08.000701517292612300018,334,444
2-7-26.976193319123144
7.52-8-12.703016213426910033,438
72-9-00.3000004163130153003,222,675
1-8-2Out111744111718
6.51-9-10.10152036299103,962
61-10-0Out003173532111334,498
0-9-2Out1001
5.50-10-1Out0102641212218
50-11-0Out007314418142,311
Total:95.8%48231353221100000001,633,152,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay 16 Dallas 30 -0.2
Washington 27 Philadelphia 20 -0.1
Miami 30 Pittsburgh 15 -0.0
San Diego 21 Denver 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Minnesota+0.7-0.3-0.9
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.2
Arizona vs Seattle-0.0-0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs San Diego+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1510-1-099000
9-0-21000
14.59-1-19910
149-2-0934300000
8-1-29252
13.58-2-1851050000
7-1-3100
138-3-06716170100000
7-2-26916150000
12.57-3-1433025120000
6-2-36733
127-4-02224393901020000
6-3-2232539380010
11.56-4-15243812170103000
5-3-3145729
116-5-0192613322706220000
5-4-22927133226062100
10.55-5-1026203111140654000
4-4-33367
105-6-000282311231561315100000
4-5-2027251125156111510
9.54-6-100241723917128134100
3-5-3255025
94-7-00002716802761519114100000
3-6-2018171002751519123100
8.53-7-10024150046172318820000
2-6-33367
83-8-00001600011513192016105200000
2-7-2162717172712631
7.52-8-100300027182524146100
72-9-00000000251218211913731000
1-8-21717171111226
6.51-9-10015152427178200
61-10-000015122024201251000
0-9-2100
5.50-10-1312222822122
50-11-00000392028241230
Total:371219411251212011100000000000000000