Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 78.7%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami 30 Pittsburgh 15 -6.6
-0.7
NY Giants 27 Baltimore 23 +1.1
+0.1
Oakland 10 Kansas City 26 +0.4
+0.1
Buffalo 45 San Francisco 16 -0.3
-0.0
San Diego 21 Denver 13 +0.2
New England 35 Cincinnati 17 +0.1
Tennessee 28 Cleveland 26 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs New England+7.9+2.3-7.4
+0.8+0.2-0.8
NY Jets vs Baltimore+3.4+2.5-2.1
+0.2+0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.5+0.5+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs New Orleans-0.4-0.4+0.6
Jacksonville vs Oakland+0.4*+0.0-0.5
Atlanta vs San Diego+0.2*-0.1-0.4
Denver vs Houston-0.1-0.2+0.3
Miami vs Buffalo+0.2-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1410-0-0In10005,879,774
13.59-0-1In973041,246
139-1-0In88120045,735,047
8-0-2In955131
12.58-1-1In7425100291,645
128-2-0100.0%534250000159,418,735
7-1-2In574030823
11.57-2-1In295614000895,714
6-1-3In1002
117-3-0100.0165227220000321,396,948
6-2-2In1853261202,156
10.56-3-199.933750631001,566,030
5-2-3In1002
106-4-098.41214916671000415,287,886
5-3-298.9121501566103,249
9.55-4-193.704463131051001,716,635
4-3-3In2550254
95-5-076.401243431415720000359,644,868
4-4-279.912538313136102,910
8.54-5-155.10104005181971001,225,553
3-4-3In33673
84-6-028.50323031123221230000211,426,370
3-5-230.1325211242111201,682
7.53-6-116.3016002122827123000571,336
73-7-04.905000314262817510083,349,891
2-6-23.54021528291751569
6.52-7-11.60200213303317400166,644
62-8-00.1000003122833194021,083,159
1-7-21.012163326202102
5.51-8-10.000314343612128,012
51-9-0Out00316403373,088,222
0-8-2Out101020501010
4.50-9-1Out152847192,001
40-10-0Out0195139325,585
Total:78.7%112024153555432110001,633,152,944
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 30 Pittsburgh 15 +1.5
NY Giants 27 Baltimore 23 -0.3
Oakland 10 Kansas City 26 -0.1
San Diego 21 Denver 13 -0.1
Tennessee 28 Cleveland 26 +0.0
Buffalo 45 San Francisco 16 +0.0
Arizona 28 NY Jets 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs New England-1.7-0.5+1.6
NY Jets vs Baltimore-0.4-0.4+0.3
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-0841600
13.59-0-17819300
139-1-05038121000
8-0-256395
12.58-1-133412321000
128-2-01340301240000000
7-1-21443271330
11.57-2-1326302713100000
6-1-3100
117-3-0115163619820200000
6-2-2117163718810100
10.56-3-103334232761211000
5-2-35050
106-4-00112014341143351100000
5-3-211201535114235110
9.55-4-100434316150364510000
4-3-325252525
95-5-0001123132203684774100000
4-4-21124142302583753100
8.54-5-100106340005410141051000
3-4-33367
84-6-00032210003014914171483100000
3-5-23322201491517137310
7.53-6-100160000028172219104100
73-7-000500000000251117211912520000
2-6-2400161415192013611
6.52-7-10200028182624145100
62-8-0000000002613212519103100
1-7-21119173022641
5.51-8-10001311232921920
51-9-0000151325291971
0-8-21020303010
4.50-9-114163031153
40-10-0000311293819
Total:3871481669113212222222111110000000