Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 36.8%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 27 Baltimore 23 -9.1
-0.7
Miami 30 Pittsburgh 15 +1.6
+0.1
Buffalo 45 San Francisco 16 -0.9
-0.0
San Diego 21 Denver 13 +0.3
-0.0
Tennessee 28 Cleveland 26 -0.2
-0.0
New England 35 Cincinnati 17 *+0.1
+0.0
Arizona 28 NY Jets 3 +0.0
Oakland 10 Kansas City 26 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Baltimore-11.9-8.3+7.4
-1.2-0.7+0.7
Pittsburgh vs New England-2.7-2.8+2.5
-0.2-0.2+0.2
Jacksonville vs Oakland+1.0*+0.0-1.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Denver vs Houston-0.4-0.9+0.8
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs New Orleans-0.6-0.8+1.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs Buffalo+0.8-0.7-0.4
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs San Diego+0.5-0.8-0.7
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.4+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In95501,245,672
12.59-0-1In7623109,930
129-1-0In6533200013,048,087
8-0-2In64312242
11.58-1-1In29541303099,842
118-2-0100.0%2151211610065,981,265
7-1-2In195321161318
10.57-2-199.633142513600439,641
6-1-3In1001
107-3-097.822142814112000190,488,176
6-2-298.72214071612101,213
9.56-3-184.1032919925132001,088,005
5-2-3In50502
96-4-070.70121187242171000347,440,483
5-3-271.01201782621712,627
8.55-4-129.404161929291120001,670,952
4-3-340.04020405
85-5-019.302110623331951000418,411,099
4-4-217.521005243519513,393
7.54-5-13.904002153230133001,647,212
3-4-3Out50502
74-6-02.0020011026322171000337,088,878
3-5-21.620192632218202,584
6.53-6-10.20003143033173001,042,045
2-5-3Out33673
63-7-00.10000019233324910179,528,045
2-6-20.20282532221011,177
5.52-7-10.00003153636101409,252
1-6-3Out1001
52-8-00.0000019283822360,583,293
1-7-2Out272741194289
4.51-8-1Out00633471390,911
41-9-0Out000320502811,708,558
0-8-2Out7543928
3.50-9-1Out0539558,545
30-10-0Out0123761,111,368
Total:36.8%251183811121197543101,633,152,944
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 27 Baltimore 23 +1.9
Miami 30 Pittsburgh 15 -0.3
Tennessee 28 Cleveland 26 +0.1
Green Bay 16 Dallas 30 -0.1
Oakland 10 Kansas City 26 +0.1
Washington 27 Philadelphia 20 +0.1
Chicago 16 Jacksonville 17 -0.0
Arizona 28 NY Jets 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Baltimore+2.6+0.5-1.6
Pittsburgh vs New England+0.3+0.4-0.3
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Washington+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs San Diego-0.1+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.0
Denver vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-053425000
12.59-0-1363922110
129-1-0125322112000000
8-0-2125229222
11.58-1-1326312312100300
118-2-0120114013810511000
7-1-211812411481421
10.57-2-103328202251946000
6-1-3100
107-3-002121834535983200000
6-2-2212183252799410
9.56-3-10032271091714111230000
5-2-35050
96-4-0001121513066185985200000
5-3-210195120871951084200
8.55-4-10042140109617221672000
4-3-3402040
85-5-000211000060151117191593100000
4-4-2219005025121719159310
7.54-5-1004000013102026211141000
3-4-3100
74-6-0002000000012612192119115100000
3-5-22001361319221711510
6.53-6-100000281926241451000
2-5-3333333
63-7-00000000001271422241893000
2-6-20012715232119830
5.52-7-100013122429218200
1-6-3100
52-8-0000000261525281861
1-7-20131628301561
4.51-8-10014163131142
41-9-00000313313715
0-8-24418182929
3.50-9-1014204333
30-10-000163261
Total:01142926132612345555555433321100