How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -1.0
-0.4
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.3
-0.5
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *+0.1
+0.2
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 -3.2
-6.7
+0.1
-0.8
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -1.5
-0.8
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 -1.4
-2.0
-0.2
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.6
+0.4
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.4
+0.9
+0.1
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.4
-0.5
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.3
-0.8
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.2
-0.5
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.2
-0.5
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 -0.2
-0.4
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 +0.1
+0.2
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.1
-0.4
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.3
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 +0.2
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.2
Bradford 0 Sheff Utd 2 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Swindon finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
110-119YesYes100No61,433*
10924-2-299.9%Yes1000No1,836*
10823-4-1YesYes100No3,861*
10723-3-2100.0Yes1000No8,076*
10623-2-3100.0Yes1000No15,385*
10522-4-299.9Yes1000No28,918*
10422-3-399.9Yes1000No52,912*
10321-5-299.9Yes1000No92,048*
10221-4-399.8Yes1000No157,971*
10121-3-499.7100.0%10000No261,526*
10020-5-399.5Yes1000No417,334*
9920-4-499.3100.09910No653,434*
9819-6-398.9100.09910No992,166*
9719-5-498.3100.09820No1,466,888*
9619-4-597.4100.09730No2,121,778*
9518-6-496.1100.096400No2,987,208*
9418-5-594.399.994600No4,100,011*
9318-4-692.099.992800No5,500,357*
9217-6-588.899.8891100No7,212,667*
9117-5-684.899.58515100No9,242,902*
9016-7-579.799.18019100No11,579,853*
8916-6-673.798.47424200No14,188,187*
8816-5-766.697.16730400No16,995,590*
8715-7-658.595.259356000No19,938,682*
8615-6-749.892.450409100No22,886,150*
8515-5-840.888.3414414200No25,705,063*
8414-7-732.082.93245203000No28,274,289*
8314-6-823.776.02444266000No30,448,622*
8213-8-716.668.0174132101000No32,105,627*
8113-7-810.759.2113536153000No33,167,491*
8013-6-96.450.4628382251000No33,533,382*
7912-8-83.442.43203728101000No33,228,066*
7812-7-91.735.721332341630000No32,224,025*
7712-6-100.730.71725362371000No30,608,793*
7611-8-90.327.1041733301330000No28,476,682*
7511-7-100.124.4021027332061000No25,944,599*
7411-6-110.021.6015193228123000No23,133,974*
7310-8-100.018.100211273220710000No20,199,331*
7210-7-110.013.90015183128133000No17,265,029*
719-9-100.09.400021025312182000No14,437,203*
709-8-110.05.4000151629281551000No11,819,533*
699-7-12No2.6000282231241130000No9,456,263*
688-9-11No1.000031326301971000No7,402,013*
678-8-12No0.3000161729271551000No5,667,045*
668-7-13No0.1000292129231130000No4,236,299*
657-9-12No0.000131225292082000No3,095,249*
647-8-13No0.0000151627271761000No2,207,497*
637-7-14No0.0000271928251341000No1,536,809*
626-9-13NoNo0003102229231130000No1,042,266*
616-8-14NoNo00141224282082000No691,612*
606-7-15NoNo0001515262717610000.0%444,238*
595-9-14NoNo000271828261451000.0279,466*
585-8-15NoNo000292129231130000.0170,012*
575-7-16NoNo00131224292082000.2101,924*
564-9-15NoNo00151627281751001.058,402*
554-8-16NoNo0027202925123003.432,294*
544-7-17NoNo000311243021820010.017,414*
534-6-18NoNo015163029154020.09,000*
523-8-17NoNo02923302592035.24,631*
513-7-18NoNo014142833173053.32,229*
503-6-19NoNo0172236267169.81,050*
492-8-18NoNo0415342816280.8473*
482-7-19NoNo36204024691.1192*
472-6-20NoNo112238271197.995*
462-5-21NoNo350407Yes30*
452-4-22NoNo17501717Yes6*
441-6-21NoNo100Yes1
421-4-23NoNo100Yes1
410-6-22NoNo100Yes1
350-0-28NoNo0595Yes59,902
Total:21.8%53.2%22201713975321100000000000000.0%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship