How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -0.3
-0.2
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.1
-0.4
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.2
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.2
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *+0.1
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 -0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 +1.7
+5.1
-0.2
+0.9
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 +1.0
+3.0
-0.4
+0.6
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.5
-0.5
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.3
+0.2
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.2
+0.6
+0.1
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.2
-0.6
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 +0.2
+0.3
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.2
-0.3
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.3
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 +0.1
+0.2
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 -0.1
-0.2
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 +0.1
+0.3
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 +0.1
+0.2
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *+0.1
*+0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.2
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.2
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Notts County finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
106-116YesYes100No60,172*
10524-4-199.7%Yes1000No360*
10424-3-2YesYes100No822*
10324-2-399.9Yes1000No1,699*
10223-4-299.9Yes1000No3,549*
10123-3-399.8Yes1000No6,565*
10022-5-299.5Yes1000No12,638*
9922-4-399.4Yes991No22,937*
9822-3-498.9100.0%9910No41,097*
9721-5-398.3100.09820No70,630*
9621-4-497.4100.09730No118,949*
9520-6-396.1100.09640No194,765*
9420-5-494.399.994600No310,549*
9320-4-591.799.992800No484,663*
9219-6-488.499.7881100No732,883*
9119-5-583.999.48415100No1,089,180*
9019-4-678.398.87820200No1,575,728*
8918-6-571.597.97226300No2,228,955*
8818-5-663.896.364315000No3,085,143*
8717-7-555.193.855378100No4,180,217*
8617-6-645.990.2464112100No5,545,710*
8517-5-736.785.2374417300No7,191,343*
8416-7-627.878.82844235000No9,136,954*
8316-6-719.871.12042298100No11,358,648*
8216-5-813.262.4133734132000No13,831,367*
8115-7-78.253.583037205000No16,515,417*
8015-6-84.645.2522372681000No19,305,912*
7914-8-72.338.02153432143000No22,133,128*
7814-7-81.132.51927352161000No24,865,427*
7714-6-90.428.505203528102000No27,365,509*
7613-8-80.125.602123033174000No29,515,974*
7513-7-90.023.201723352591000No31,221,907*
7413-6-100.020.40031531311540000No32,358,094*
7312-8-90.016.8001824342381000No32,873,723*
7212-7-100.012.700041631301541000No32,736,486*
7112-6-110.08.400018243323920000No31,939,871*
7011-8-100.04.8000041529301651000No30,546,125*
6911-7-11No2.3000182232241020000No28,637,854*
6811-6-12No0.90000313273018610000No26,289,103*
6710-8-11No0.3000161930261341000No23,649,397*
6610-7-12No0.1000210233022920000No20,832,905*
659-9-11No0.0000141427281861000No17,970,954*
649-8-12No0.0000171829261441000No15,187,397*
639-7-13No0.000002102229231130000No12,558,922*
628-9-12NoNo0001413252819820000No10,154,273*
618-8-13NoNo000161627271661000No8,031,573*
608-7-14NoNo0002819282513410000.0%6,209,270*
597-9-13NoNo000031022292211300000.04,700,205*
587-8-14NoNo0001413252820820000.03,473,488*
577-7-15NoNo0001616272716610000.12,501,381*
566-9-14NoNo0000282029251341000.61,763,162*
556-8-15NoNo00031123302292002.21,211,994*
546-7-16NoNo000151527291761006.4809,739*
535-9-15NoNo000172030261230014.9527,894*
525-8-16NoNo00031125322171028.5335,144*
515-7-17NoNo0015183129133045.1206,746*
504-9-16NoNo0002102634226062.3123,691*
494-8-17NoNo01518333112176.871,948*
484-7-18NoNo00210283719387.840,565*
474-6-19NoNo015213928693.922,025*
463-8-18NoNo021437361197.511,576*
453-7-19NoNo01731441799.25,780*
443-6-20NoNo0425462499.72,918*
432-8-19NoNo0116463699.81,401*
422-7-20NoNo1104346Yes588*
412-6-21NoNo63856Yes252*
402-5-22NoNo23067Yes86*
391-7-21NoNo23067Yes46*
381-6-22NoNo2476Yes17*
372-2-25NoNo100Yes3*
360-7-22NoNo100Yes1
290-0-29NoNo0100Yes59,902
Total:4.3%21.9%47911121110976432211100000000.1%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship