"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Galatasaray 1 Fenerbahçe 0 +0.3
+16.6
+0.2
Beşiktaş 2 Kayserispor 1 -10.0
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Fenerbahçe vs MP Antalyaspor-0.3+0.2+1.0
Sivasspor vs Galatasaray-0.4-0.2+0.6
-13.1-3.1+15.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
T. Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş+13.8+4.9-14.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Galatasaray finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718To PTTCount
716-0-022.7%Yes2377No205,228
695-1-07.799.7%8920No1,157,176
685-0-13.398.03952No658,867
674-2-01.496.81953No2,794,915
664-1-10.492.10928No3,144,771
653-3-00.186.208614No3,577,917
4-0-20.186.208614No864,431
643-2-10.078.107822No5,973,371
633-1-20.066.406634No3,258,086
2-4-00.066.406634No2,559,828
622-3-1No54.45446No5,643,168
3-0-3No54.45446No579,845
612-2-2No41.24159No4,564,491
1-5-0No41.24159No972,187
601-4-1No28.629710No2,651,181
2-1-3No28.629710No1,609,182
591-3-2No18.5188100No2,833,091
2-0-4No18.418810No208,515
0-6-0No18.318820No153,087
581-2-3No10.4108810No1,482,465
0-5-1No10.6118900No495,684
570-4-2No5.159230No656,064
1-1-4No5.059140No380,918
560-3-3No2.1290800No455,053
1-0-5No2.02861100No38,141
550-2-4No0.618019100No172,916
540-1-5No0.106233500No34,648
530-0-6No0.0035451830No9,242
Total:0.5%58.8%058410000No47,134,468
Points
Chance Will Win Championship