"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Notts County 0 Leyton Orient 0 *No
+0.3
Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 +0.7
Oldham 1 Preston 3 -0.6
Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 -0.6
+0.0
Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 -0.5
+0.0
Colchester 2 Coventry 1 +0.4
Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 +0.3
-0.1
Shrewsbury 2 Bristol City 3 +0.2
Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Notts County vs MK Dons+0.0NoNo
-9.4+2.4+6.8
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Peterborough vs Bristol City-0.5+0.1+0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Stevenage vs Preston+1.4-0.0-0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle-0.6+0.1+1.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Walsall vs Crewe-0.5+0.1+1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Oldham vs Rotherham+1.1-0.0-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Brentford vs Tranmere-0.4+0.2+1.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town+0.7-0.3-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Gillingham vs Coventry+0.4-0.0-0.4
Colchester vs Bradford City+0.1-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Tranmere vs Notts CountyNoNo+0.0
+6.7+1.1-12.3
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury-0.4+0.3+1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bristol City vs Swindon+0.8-0.1-0.8
Colchester vs Shrewsbury-0.4-0.1+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carlisle vs Stevenage+0.2-0.6+0.2
Crewe vs Oldham+0.1-0.5+0.2
Bradford City vs Gillingham-0.2+0.1+0.4
Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton+0.2+0.0-0.1
Coventry vs Port Vale+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Notts County finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
6411-0-0No0.1%018383012200No39,684
6210-1-0NoNo0214293117510No9,780
6110-0-1NoNo0518312814410No17,552
609-2-0NoNo02822322410200No40,337
599-1-1NoNo002102531228200No145,860
589-0-2NoNo0003132731196100No229,190*
578-2-1NoNo00141529301651000No533,812
568-1-2NoNo0015173029154100No1,105,713*
557-3-1NoNo000161931271230000.0%1,701,063*
547-2-2NoNo00172132251120000.03,206,041*
537-1-3NoNo000282332241020000.25,133,575*
526-3-2NoNo000211253221710001.45,591,053
7-0-4NoNo0029233124920002.11,681,313*
516-2-3NoNo00031226312061007.411,249,926*
506-1-4NoNo00031328321951024.78,412,820
5-4-2NoNo00141530301640019.86,671,825*
495-3-3NoNo00015173230132045.215,169,517
6-0-5NoNo0014163130143048.13,887,620*
485-2-4NoNo00162135279171.919,599,110*
4-5-2NoNo000182435247167.05,133,537
474-4-3NoNo000211293618387.014,685,355
5-1-5NoNo00019273721489.413,837,245*
464-3-4NoNo0003173733996.325,097,754
5-0-6NoNo00031536351197.23,802,528
3-6-2NoNo0004193830895.32,652,720*
454-2-5NoNo0001728432199.325,615,705
3-5-3NoNo001830421899.09,152,895*
443-4-4NoNo000319453399.919,179,709
4-1-6NoNo00217453699.915,334,103*
433-3-5NoNo000194050100.025,954,575
4-0-7NoNo00183953100.03,479,848
2-6-3NoNo001104147100.03,467,311*
423-2-6NoNo0043066100.021,863,380
2-5-4NoNo0043264100.08,894,467*
412-4-5NoNo0012177100.014,687,342
3-1-7NoNo0012078100.011,220,152*
402-3-6NoNo001387Yes16,404,927
1-6-4NoNo001486Yes2,194,251
3-0-8NoNo001288Yes2,200,510*
392-2-7NoNo00793Yes11,736,642
1-5-5NoNo00792Yes4,475,090*
381-4-6NoNo00496Yes6,121,270
2-1-8NoNo0397Yes5,106,151*
371-3-7NoNo0298Yes7,245,233*
361-2-8NoNo0199Yes4,505,614*
351-1-9NoNo0100Yes2,385,616*
340-3-8NoNo0100Yes1,095,959*
330-2-9NoNo0100Yes479,859
320-1-10NoNo0100Yes156,352
310-0-11NoNo0100Yes61,677
Total:No0.0%000000000112346914223782.9%372,653,568

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship