Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Crows328-0-222399.7%-0.03326191262100000000002.4+0.082.691Adelaide Crows
Magpies328-0-217898.7+1.62221191611631100000003.2+0.651.691Collingwood Magpies
Bombers328-0-228098.4-0.12121201611632100000003.26.691Essendon Bombers
Eagles328-0-229398.8-1.020212017126311000000003.2-1.084.691West Coast Eagles
Swans287-0-330291.1+9.148131720141064311000005.2+0.998.627Sydney Swans
Hawks246-0-424470.2-0.101371217161310754210007.3-0.053.567Hawthorn Hawks
Blues246-0-415162.1-1.3013510151513121075311007.8-0.129.564Carlton Blues
Cats246-0-49551.3-1.40124711131313121074210008.5-0.117.564Geelong Cats
Tigers205-0-59141.8-0.9001259121414131186320009.1-0.085.500Richmond Tigers
Dockers205-0-5-6132.1-0.4000136912141513118530009.8-0.0410.500Fremantle Dockers
Saints205-0-513531.0-2.3001136911131414118530009.8-0.1712.500St. Kilda Saints
Kangaroos164-0-6-26.7+0.10000012358111518181520012.3-0.0216.436North Melbourne Kangaroos
Lions164-0-6-997.5+5.50000012457101518181720012.4+1.4014.433Brisbane Lions
Power164-0-6-595.4-0.1000001234581318222040012.8-0.0111.433Port Adelaide Power
Bulldogs164-0-6-1445.1-8.7000001223571115202940013.1-1.3713.433Western Bulldogs
Demons41-0-9-5090.000000000012645351216.5+0.0315.245Melbourne Demons
Giants41-0-9-6240.0000000000001436431416.6+0.0517.245Greater Western Sydney
Suns00-0-10-4940.0-0.00000000000006217417.7-0.1618.182Gold Coast Suns

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/3
Swans 132 Bulldogs 40
7:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Magpies-0.0
Bombers-0.0
Swans+5.6
+0.5
Hawks-0.1
Tigers-0.2
Saints-0.2
Kangaroos+0.1
Lions+0.0
Power+0.0
Bulldogs-5.0
-0.5
Lions 102 Eagles 100
7:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crows+0.1
Magpies+0.1
Bombers+0.1
Eagles-0.4
-0.5
Swans-0.2
Hawks-0.1
Blues-0.4
Cats-0.3
Tigers-0.4
-0.1
Dockers-0.3
-0.1
Saints-0.3
-0.1
Kangaroos-0.1
-0.1
Lions+2.9
+0.8
Power-0.1
-0.1
Bulldogs-0.1
-0.1
Magpies 149 Suns 52
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crows-0.0
Magpies+0.6
+0.1
Bombers-0.0
Eagles-0.0
Swans-0.1
-0.0
Hawks-0.1
-0.0
Blues-0.1
-0.0
Cats-0.1
-0.0
Tigers-0.1
Dockers-0.1
Saints-0.1
Demons+0.0
Giants+0.0
Suns-0.0
Blues vs CatsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks70.371.170.0
Blues74.6*62.149.6
7.07.88.6
Cats37.949.464.7
9.38.57.6
Tigers42.042.641.5
Week of 6/9
Tigers vs DockersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks70.071.470.2
Blues61.961.562.3
Tigers54.740.828.9
8.39.110.0
Dockers19.830.544.4
10.69.89.0
Power vs HawksHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans91.791.090.8
5.15.25.2
Hawks56.2*70.178.3
8.37.46.8
Blues63.361.961.4
7.77.87.8
Cats52.8*51.250.4
8.48.58.5
Tigers43.4*42.040.9
Dockers33.5*31.931.2
Saints32.3*30.830.2
Lions8.07.87.2
Power10.35.92.5
12.012.813.3
Crows vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crows99.9*99.799.2
2.22.53.0
Magpies3.23.23.1
Eagles3.33.23.2
Swans91.5*91.290.3
Hawks71.0*70.268.3
7.37.37.4
Blues63.0*61.960.1
7.87.87.9
Cats52.250.849.2
8.48.58.5
Tigers42.741.039.8
9.19.29.2
Dockers32.931.230.2
9.79.89.9
Saints24.733.544.7
10.39.58.8
Kangaroos7.06.66.2
12.312.412.4
Lions7.8*7.56.9
12.412.412.5
Power5.6*5.34.9
12.812.912.9
Eagles vs BluesHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles99.6*98.897.5
2.93.33.9
Swans91.591.090.5
Hawks71.070.468.6
7.37.37.4
Blues55.063.674.4
8.37.76.9
Cats52.250.749.6
8.48.58.5
Tigers42.8*41.940.1
9.19.19.2
Dockers33.0*32.030.5
9.79.89.8
Saints32.030.229.4
9.89.99.9
Kangaroos7.16.56.2
Lions7.9*7.66.9
Suns vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans92.091.790.9
5.15.15.2
Hawks72.071.469.7
7.27.37.4
Blues64.363.561.6
7.77.77.8
Cats53.452.250.8
8.48.48.5
Tigers43.742.541.3
9.09.19.2
Dockers33.932.431.7
9.69.79.8
Saints17.224.334.3
10.910.29.6
Kangaroos7.47.06.6
12.212.312.4
Lions8.27.97.4
12.312.412.4
Suns0.1OutOut
17.517.617.7
Bombers vs SwansHomeDrawAway
7:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bombers99.4*98.597.2
2.73.33.9
Swans87.792.395.6
5.85.04.4
Blues62.4*61.961.7
Cats51.650.950.8
Tigers42.441.441.1
Saints31.430.630.4
Demons vs MagpiesHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crows2.32.42.5
Magpies96.698.199.1
4.03.53.0
Bombers3.13.23.3
Eagles3.13.23.3
Demons16.116.316.5
Giants16.816.716.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Paul Harvey for adding this league.