Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLiga Adelante
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Barcelona68122-2-15494.9%+0.0100.0%95500001.1No1FC Barcelona
Atlético Madrid56118-2-5254.1-0.099.3-0.0465273100000002.3No2Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid52116-4-5391.0-0.095.3-0.11285511310000000002.9No3Real Madrid
Málaga42112-6-7130.032.4-0.60172520151186421100000005.9-0.060.0%5Málaga
Valencia41112-5-8-10.023.4-0.400419181613107532100000006.5-0.060.0-0.06Valencia
Real Sociedad40111-7-7100.019.1-0.400316171513119643210000006.9-0.070.0-0.04Real Sociedad
Real Betis39112-3-10-10.013.1-0.3002111415141210864211000007.4-0.070.0-0.07Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano37112-1-12-90.07.1-0.200169111213121097532100008.5-0.070.1-0.08Rayo Vallecano
Getafe3811-5-10-70.05.6+2.2000581012131311107532100008.8+0.920.1-0.39Getafe
Levante34110-4-11-80.01.9-0.100024689111212119743110010.4-0.060.7-0.111Levante
Real Valladolid3319-6-1010.01.3-0.1000134681012131211864210010.9-0.051.1-0.210Real Valladolid
Sevilla3219-5-11-30.00.8-0.0000123579101213121085310011.5-0.041.9-0.212Sevilla
Espanyol3118-7-10-40.00.5-0.000011245791112131297421012.2-0.012.9-0.314Espanyol
Osasuna2817-7-11-5No0.1-0.000001123579111314131073114.0+0.0210.2-0.917Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao2617-5-13-20No0.0-0.000000012346912141514116215.1+0.0419.5-1.215Athletic Bilbao
Granada2617-5-13-12No0.0-0.000000012346912141515126215.1+0.0419.3-1.213Granada
Real Zaragoza257-4-15-13No0.0-0.000000000123581215181812516.3-0.6635.0+8.216Real Zaragoza
Celta2316-5-14-8No0.000000000123571014171914716.6+0.0640.5-1.918Celta Vigo
Real Mallorca1814-6-15-24No0.000000000001235916313318.5+0.0579.7-1.319Real Mallorca
Deportivo1613-7-15-27No0.00000000000113612265119.1+0.0389.2-0.820Deportiva La Coruña

*Top four clubs earn promotion to UEFA Champions League 2013-14

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/23
Barcelona 2 Sevilla 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+2.6
Yes
Atlético Madrid-1.9
Real Madrid-0.6
Sevilla*No
-0.9
+0.9
-0.8
Atlético Madrid 1 Espanyol 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-1.4
Atlético Madrid+1.5
+1.4
+0.2
Espanyol-0.6
+1.1
-0.8
Deportivo 1 Real Madrid 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.7
Real Madrid+0.8
+4.8
+0.3
Málaga-1.2
Valencia-0.9
Real Sociedad-0.9
Osasuna-0.9
Athletic Bilbao-0.9
Granada-0.6
Real Zaragoza-0.9
Celta-1.1
Real Mallorca-0.9
DeportivoNo
+5.8
-0.3
Real Betis 3 Málaga 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Málaga-10.4
-0.6
Valencia+1.6
Real Sociedad+1.1
Real Betis+5.5
+0.9
Rayo Vallecano+0.9
Real Zaragoza 2 Valencia 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+0.3
Málaga+0.8
Valencia-2.5
-0.1
Real Sociedad+0.4
Real Betis+0.2
Rayo Vallecano+0.3
Osasuna-0.2
Athletic Bilbao-0.2
Granada-0.2
Real Zaragoza+1.5
-0.2
Celta-0.3
Real Mallorca-0.3
Deportivo-0.2
Rayo Vallecano 1 Real Valladolid 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Málaga+1.2
Valencia+0.7
Real Sociedad+0.6
Rayo Vallecano-4.2
-0.8
Real Valladolid+0.6
-1.6
+1.0
Levante 0 Osasuna 2
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Levante*No
-1.9
+0.4
-0.8
Osasuna-7.7
+0.9
Athletic Bilbao+1.0
Granada+1.1
Real Zaragoza+1.3
Celta+1.6
Real Mallorca+1.1
Deportivo+0.8
Getafe 2 Real Zaragoza 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Málaga-0.6
Getafe+2.2
-0.3
+0.9
Osasuna-0.8
Athletic Bilbao-1.2
Granada-1.2
Real Zaragoza+8.3
-0.7
Celta-1.9
Real Mallorca-1.2
Deportivo-0.8
Real Mallorca 1 Getafe 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Getafe+1.2
-0.9
+0.9
Osasuna-1.1
Athletic Bilbao-1.1
Granada-0.9
Real Zaragoza-1.3
Celta-1.4
Real MallorcaNo
+8.1
-0.4
Deportivo-0.8
Celta 2 Granada 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Osasuna+1.3
Athletic Bilbao+1.2
Granada+7.1
-0.8
Real Zaragoza+1.4
Celta-13.1
+0.7
Real Mallorca+0.8
Week of 3/2
Real Madrid vs BarcelonaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Barcelona92.195.197.7
100.0100.0Yes
Atlético Madrid5.74.32.2
2.42.32.3
Real Madrid2.20.60.1
98.095.192.8
2.73.03.1
Málaga vs Atlético MadridHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Barcelona96.695.692.8
Atlético Madrid2.43.36.2
98.599.499.9
2.52.32.2
Málaga43.029.723.8
5.36.06.4
Valencia20.824.125.5
6.66.56.4
Real Sociedad17.119.720.7
7.06.96.8
Real Betis11.213.514.6
7.57.47.3
Real Sociedad vs Real BetisHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Real Sociedad28.416.911.3
6.07.07.6
Real Betis6.711.420.6
8.27.56.5
Valencia vs LevanteHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Málaga30.033.334.3
6.05.95.9
Valencia32.521.016.0
5.86.67.1
LevanteNo0.00.0
0.61.33.6
1.20.70.2
11.210.69.4
Deportivo vs Rayo VallecanoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Rayo Vallecano4.05.811.1
9.38.77.7
Deportivo83.491.093.6
18.819.219.3
Espanyol vs Real ValladolidHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Real Valladolid0.50.92.4
1.81.00.3
11.811.19.9
Espanyol1.10.40.2
1.02.94.7
11.112.413.1
Sevilla vs CeltaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Sevilla1.60.60.3
0.51.73.4
10.611.712.4
Athletic Bilbao18.119.121.1
Granada17.718.921.1
Real Zaragoza33.134.537.3
16.316.316.4
Celta50.542.828.9
17.216.815.9
Real Mallorca78.479.381.2
18.518.518.6
Osasuna vs Athletic BilbaoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Osasuna4.310.615.9
13.014.214.8
Athletic Bilbao27.320.411.0
15.915.314.2
Granada vs Real MallorcaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Granada10.319.428.2
14.315.315.8
Real MallorcaNoNo0.0
87.882.669.5
18.918.718.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you KevinYoung90 for adding this league.