Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-LPCTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
AlleyCats6-5.545973.4%-12.340342431.9-0.336Indianapolis AlleyCats
Cranes15-5.500361.3+14.0362628112.1+0.414Columbus Cranes
Revolution15-5.500455.4+11.3233328172.4+0.305Bluegrass Revolution
Mechanix4-7.364-229.9-13.02821693.6-0.388Detroit Mechanix

If you see any errors, please let me know: jvc at nwcs dot com.
Last update: 23 June 2012, 22h30

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/23
Cranes 30 Mechanix 25
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats-0.3
Cranes+14.8
+0.4
Revolution-1.4
Mechanix-13.1
-0.3
Revolution 17 AlleyCats 13
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats-10.1
-0.3
Cranes-0.2
Revolution+11.7
+0.3
Mechanix-1.4
AlleyCats vs CranesIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats88.588.159.358.3
1.51.52.32.3
Cranes45.346.276.877.2
2.52.51.81.8
Revolution55.8*55.354.555.1
Mechanix10.410.49.49.4
Revolution vs MechanixHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats68.869.677.678.0
2.02.01.81.8
Cranes59.159.662.963.5
Revolution70.869.641.040.0
2.02.02.82.8
Mechanix1.21.218.518.6
3.93.93.33.3
Week of 6/30
Revolution vs CranesIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats70.370.675.776.6
Cranes44.745.976.877.9
2.52.51.81.7
Revolution74.272.638.536.6
2.02.02.82.8
Mechanix10.810.88.98.9
Rampage vs AlleyCatsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats63.264.083.183.6
2.12.11.71.7
Cranes66.266.156.556.4
2.02.02.22.2
Revolution59.158.552.151.7
2.32.32.52.5
Mechanix11.511.58.38.3
Spinners vs MechanixHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats74.674.772.272.2
Cranes62.662.660.160.0
2.12.12.22.2
Revolution57.557.453.353.3
2.32.32.42.4
Mechanix5.35.314.414.4
3.73.73.43.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.