Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-LPCTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
AlleyCats6-5.545981.4%-12.051301801.7-0.356.535Indianapolis AlleyCats
Cranes15-5.500359.1+9.129303832.1+0.344.500Columbus Cranes
Revolution15-5.500457.0+11.219383492.3+0.325.500Bluegrass Revolution
Mechanix4-7.364-222.5-8.3029883.9-0.318.394Detroit Mechanix

If you see any errors, please let me know: jvc at nwcs dot com.
Last update: 23 June 2012, 22h30

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/23
Revolution 17 AlleyCats 13
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats-5.1
-0.1
Cranes-4.3
Revolution+10.6
+0.2
Mechanix-1.3
-0.0
Cranes 30 Mechanix 25
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats-0.5
-0.0
Cranes+9.1
+0.2
Revolution-2.0
Mechanix-6.6
-0.2
AlleyCats vs CranesIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats90.389.859.158.1
1.41.52.32.3
Cranes49.150.484.985.2
2.42.31.61.6
Revolution57.8*57.054.455.1
Mechanix2.82.81.61.6
Revolution vs MechanixHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats78.979.588.588.8
1.71.71.51.5
Cranes56.557.565.866.5
2.22.22.12.1
Revolution64.563.036.135.0
2.12.22.92.9
Mechanix0.10.19.69.6
4.04.03.53.5
Week of 6/30
Revolution vs CranesIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats78.578.887.487.9
Cranes46.949.284.685.8
2.42.31.71.7
Revolution71.568.926.724.9
2.12.12.82.8
Mechanix3.03.11.31.3
Rampage vs AlleyCatsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats75.876.689.189.5
1.81.81.51.5
Cranes62.162.054.854.8
2.12.12.22.2
Revolution59.558.853.853.4
2.22.32.42.4
Mechanix2.62.62.32.3
Spinners vs MechanixHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AlleyCats81.581.680.980.9
Cranes59.2*59.158.057.7
2.12.12.22.2
Revolution57.257.155.255.0
2.32.32.42.4
Mechanix2.12.15.96.3
3.93.93.73.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.