Rhode Island Rampage Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Constitution 11-12, playoff odds down 1.4 to 0.04%

5-6 .455

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/23	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Rampage 11 Constitution 12	-1.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 6/30	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Constitution vs Hunters	-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.8
Spinners vs Mechanix	-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rampage finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

9		4	-	0	0.5	%		1	99		1,258,146
8		3	-	1	0.0			0	100		9,995,721
6	-7				Out				100		11,722,055	*
5		0	-	4	Out				98	2	143,968

Total:					0.0	%		0	100	0	23,119,890

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 6/23	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rampage 11 Constitution 12	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 6/30	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rampage vs AlleyCats	-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Hunters vs Rampage	+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1
Spinners vs Mechanix	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

9	4	-	0			0	0	99
8	3	-	1			0	0	99	1
7	2	-	2					67	33	0
6	1	-	3					12	79	9
5	0	-	4					0	50	49	1

Total:						0	0	77	22	1	0