Detroit Mechanix Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Cranes 25-30, playoff odds down 8.3 to 2.5%

4-7 .364

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/23	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cranes 30 Mechanix 25	-6.6		-0.2
Revolution 17 AlleyCats 13	-1.3		-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Revolution vs Mechanix	-2.4-2.4+7.1+7.2		-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4
AlleyCats vs Cranes	+0.3+0.3-0.9-0.9

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 6/30	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spinners vs Mechanix	-0.4-0.3+3.4+3.8		-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2
Revolution vs Cranes	+0.6+0.6-1.2-1.2
Rampage vs AlleyCats	+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2

Chances based on how well the Mechanix finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

9	5	-	0	96.8	%	35	61	3		26,716
8	4	-	1	53.3		2	51	44	2	422,912
7	3	-	2	10.8		0	11	46	43	3,000,940
6	2	-	3	Out				7	93	8,212,396
5	1	-	4	Out				0	100	8,516,291
4	0	-	5	Out					100	2,940,635

Total:				2.5	%	0	2	9	88	23,119,890

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 6/23	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cranes 30 Mechanix 25	+0.3
Revolution 17 AlleyCats 13	+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Revolution vs Mechanix	+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 6/30	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spinners vs Mechanix	+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.3

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

9	5	-	0		35	1	60	3	0
8	4	-	1		2	0	51	24	21	1
7	3	-	2		0		11	5	46	39
6	2	-	3					0	7	93	0
5	1	-	4						0	100	0
4	0	-	5							100	0

Total:					0	0	2	1	9	88	0