How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 6/23 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Cranes 30 Mechanix 25 +9.1 +0.2 Revolution 17 AlleyCats 13 -4.3 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway AlleyCats vs Cranes -10.0-8.7+25.8+26.1 -0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6 Revolution vs Mechanix -2.6-1.6+6.8+7.4 -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway Week of 6/30 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Revolution vs Cranes -12.1-9.8+25.6+26.8 -0.2-0.2+0.4+0.5 Rampage vs AlleyCats +3.0+2.9-4.2-4.3 +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 Spinners vs Mechanix +0.1*+0.1-1.1-1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Cranes finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 Count 11 6 - 0 In 100 170,143 10 5 - 1 In 99 1 1,488,927 9 4 - 2 99.5 % 71 28 0 5,168,028 8 3 - 3 72.0 18 54 28 0 8,359,160 7 2 - 4 13.6 0 13 84 2 6,158,942 6 1 - 5 Out 76 24 1,680,714 5 0 - 6 Out 25 75 93,976 Total: 59.1 % 29 30 38 3 23,119,890
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Week of 6/23 100.0* Lottery seed Cranes 30 Mechanix 25 -0.4 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway AlleyCats vs Cranes +0.4+0.4-1.1-1.1 Revolution vs Mechanix +0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway Week of 6/30 100.0* Lottery seed Revolution vs Cranes +0.4+0.3-0.8-0.9 Rampage vs AlleyCats -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 Hunters vs Rampage -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0 Spinners vs Mechanix -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TW W - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 11 6 - 0 0 100 10 5 - 1 0 99 0 1 9 4 - 2 71 0 28 0 8 3 - 3 18 54 17 11 0 7 2 - 4 0 13 9 74 3 6 1 - 5 0 76 23 0 5 0 - 6 25 74 0 Total: 0 29 0 30 9 29 3 0