Tiananmen Squares Playoff Chances

Beat Bosses 3-1, playoff odds up 0.003 to 99.999%

43 points 13-1 4-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bosses 1 Squares 3			+0.1
Princes 1 Bears 0			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tsunamis vs Squares	-0.0+0.0InIn		-0.5-0.2+0.0+0.2
Yetis vs Islanders			+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.0
LAHC vs Princes			+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1
Turtles vs Leopards			+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Squares finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

67	8	-	0	0		-	0	In		100										44,237
66	7	-	1	0		-	0	In		100	0									87,017
65	6	-	2	0		-	0	In		99	1									76,526
	7	-	0	0		-	1	In		97	3									44,819
64	7	-	0	1		-	0	In		92	8	0								178,378
	6	-	1	0		-	1	In		94	6	0								116,346	*
63	6	-	1	1		-	0	In		86	14	0								313,434
	5	-	2	0		-	1	In		88	12	0								90,782	*
62	5	-	2	1		-	0	In		78	22	0								235,667
	6	-	0	1		-	1	In		75	25	0								155,947
	5	-	1	0		-	2	In		78	22	0								56,364	*
61	6	-	0	2		-	0	In		60	37	2	0							312,304
	5	-	1	1		-	1	In		62	36	2	0							233,609
	4	-	3	1		-	0	In		65	33	2	0							127,002	*
60	5	-	1	2		-	0	In		47	47	6	0							469,127
	4	-	2	1		-	1	In		48	46	6	0							146,078
	5	-	0	1		-	2	In		47	47	6	0							94,105	*
59	4	-	2	2		-	0	In		33	54	12	1							292,887
	5	-	0	2		-	1	In		31	55	13	1							226,898
	4	-	1	1		-	2	In		31	55	13	1							70,871
	3	-	3	1		-	1	In		34	54	12	1							57,223	*
58	5	-	0	3		-	0	In		18	54	25	3	0						302,415
	4	-	1	2		-	1	In		19	54	24	3	0						283,246
	3	-	3	2		-	0	In		20	54	23	2	0						97,240
	3	-	2	1		-	2	In		19	54	24	2	0						57,614	*
57	4	-	1	3		-	0	In		10	47	36	7	0						378,201
	3	-	2	2		-	1	In		10	47	36	7	0						141,486
	4	-	0	2		-	2	In		9	46	37	7	0						106,037	*
56	3	-	2	3		-	0	In		5	36	45	14	0						187,980
	4	-	0	3		-	1	In		4	35	46	15	1						178,091
	3	-	1	2		-	2	In		4	36	45	14	0						110,745	*
55	3	-	1	3		-	1	In		1	22	48	26	2						177,936
	4	-	0	4		-	0	In		1	22	48	27	2						177,446
	2	-	3	3		-	0	In		2	23	48	26	1						88,267	*
54	3	-	1	4		-	0	In		0	12	43	40	5						178,118
	2	-	2	3		-	1	In		0	12	43	39	5						67,127
	3	-	0	3		-	2	In		0	12	43	40	5						58,546	*
53	3	-	0	4		-	1	In		0	5	33	49	12						80,611
	2	-	2	4		-	0	In		0	6	34	49	11						111,495	*
52	3	-	0	5		-	0	In		0	2	22	54	23	0					64,619
	2	-	1	4		-	1	In		0	2	22	55	21	0					85,162	*
51	2	-	1	5		-	0	In		0	1	12	52	35	0					80,801	*
50	2	-	0	5		-	1	In			0	6	44	49	0					42,041	*
49	2	-	0	6		-	0	In			0	2	34	64	0					27,698	*
48	1	-	1	6		-	0	In			0	1	23	75	1					10,990	*
47	1	-	0	6		-	1	100.0	%			0	13	84	2	0				4,559	*
46	1	-	0	7		-	0	99.9				0	7	88	5	0				2,591	*
45	0	-	1	7		-	0	99.8					3	85	12	0				650	*
44	0	-	0	7		-	1	99.5					1	73	25	1				189
43	0	-	0	8		-	0	96.7						65	31	3				918

Total:								100.0	%	37	32	19	10	3	0	0				6,532,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bosses 1 Squares 3	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tsunamis vs Squares	+0.6+0.3-0.0-0.3
Yetis vs Islanders	-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.0
LAHC vs Princes	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1
Turtles vs Leopards	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1
Bosses vs Bears	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

67	8	-	0	0		-	0	100
66	7	-	1	0		-	0	100	0
65	6	-	2	0		-	0	99	1
	7	-	0	0		-	1	97	3
64	7	-	0	1		-	0	92	8	0
	6	-	1	0		-	1	94	6	0
63	6	-	1	1		-	0	86	14	0
	5	-	2	0		-	1	88	12	0
62	5	-	2	1		-	0	78	22	0
	6	-	0	1		-	1	75	25	0
	5	-	1	0		-	2	78	22	0
61	6	-	0	2		-	0	60	37	2	0
	5	-	1	1		-	1	62	36	2	0
	4	-	3	1		-	0	65	33	2	0
60	5	-	1	2		-	0	46	47	7	0	0
	4	-	2	1		-	1	47	46	6	0	0
	5	-	0	1		-	2	46	47	7	0	0
59	4	-	2	2		-	0	32	53	14	1	0
	5	-	0	2		-	1	30	54	15	1	0
	4	-	1	1		-	2	30	54	14	1	0
	3	-	3	1		-	1	33	53	13	1	0
58	5	-	0	3		-	0	17	52	27	4	0	0
	4	-	1	2		-	1	18	52	26	4	0	0
	3	-	3	2		-	0	19	51	25	4	0
	3	-	2	1		-	2	18	52	26	4	0
57	4	-	1	3		-	0	9	42	37	11	1	0
	3	-	2	2		-	1	9	42	37	11	1	0
	4	-	0	2		-	2	8	41	38	11	1	0
56	3	-	2	3		-	0	4	29	42	21	4	0	0
	4	-	0	3		-	1	3	27	43	22	4	0	0
	3	-	1	2		-	2	3	29	42	22	4	0	0
55	3	-	1	3		-	1	1	15	38	34	12	1	0	0
	4	-	0	4		-	0	1	14	37	34	12	1	0	0
	2	-	3	3		-	0	1	15	38	34	11	1	0
54	3	-	1	4		-	0	0	6	25	39	24	5	0	0
	2	-	2	3		-	1	0	6	26	39	24	5	0
53	3	-	0	4		-	1	0	2	13	33	36	14	2	0
	2	-	2	4		-	0	0	2	14	34	35	13	2	0
	2	-	1	3		-	2	0	2	13	34	36	13	2	0
52	3	-	0	5		-	0		0	5	21	39	27	7	1	0
	2	-	1	4		-	1	0	0	5	22	39	26	7	0	0
51	2	-	1	5		-	0	0	0	1	10	31	38	18	2	0
50	2	-	0	5		-	1		0	0	3	17	38	32	9	1	0
49	2	-	0	6		-	0			0	0	6	25	41	23	4	0
48	1	-	1	6		-	0				0	1	12	36	37	12	1	0
47	1	-	0	6		-	1					0	3	20	42	28	7	0	0
46	1	-	0	7		-	0						1	8	32	40	18	2	0
45	0	-	1	7		-	0							2	15	37	34	10	2
44	0	-	0	7		-	1								4	24	36	28	8
43	0	-	0	8		-	0								0	10	31	39	15	4	1

Total:								36	30	16	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0