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RochesterRustlers Playoff Chances 19
Lost to Bears 0-1, playoff odds down 17.4 to 58.8%
5 points 1-1 1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bears 1 Rustlers 0 | -8.8 | -9.2 | -0.8 | |||
| Chews 5 Nannies 6 | +0.3 | +0.2 | ||||
| Hipsters 0 Flamingos 1 | +0.2 | -0.2 | ||||
| Apes 1 Snipers 2 | +0.2 | +0.9 | ||||
| Apes 3 Pitchforks 1 | +0.1 | -0.5 | ||||
| Pitchforks 1 Wolverines 4 | -0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Monday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rustlers vs Chews | +8.7+2.5-4.4-11.2 | +5.7+1.2-3.2-7.0 | +0.6+0.2-0.3-0.8 | |||
| Nannies vs Flamingos | -0.8-0.4*+0.1+0.5 | +0.6+0.3-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Chews vs Hipsters | +0.5+0.2*-0.1-0.4 | +0.4+0.2*-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Bears vs Pitchforks | -0.3-0.1+0.2+0.5 | -0.6*-0.1+0.4+0.8 | ||||
| Wolverines vs Pixies | +0.3*+0.0-0.2-0.3 | -0.3*-0.0+0.2+0.3 | ||||
| Pandas vs Pixies | +0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Snipers vs Hipsters | +0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1 | +0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Pandas vs Apes | +0.3+0.2*-0.0-0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Rustlers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||||
| 56 | -62 | In | Yes | 100 | 3,304 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 15 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 485 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 14 | - | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 1,113 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 14 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 2,337 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 14 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 4,719 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 51 | 13 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | 9,165 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 13 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 16,632 | * | |||||||||||||
| 49 | 12 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | 28,221 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99.8 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 46,284 | * | ||||||||||||
| 47 | 12 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 99.6 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 73,393 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 98.9 | 73 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 110,138 | * | ||||||||||||
| 45 | 10 | - | 4 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 97.4 | 63 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 159,825 | * | |||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 94.6 | 51 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 224,240 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 89.5 | 38 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 301,819 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 4 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 81.5 | 26 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 395,000 | * | |||||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 70.4 | 15 | 45 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 497,821 | * | ||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 57.6 | 7 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 606,396 | * | ||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 4 | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 44.8 | 3 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 716,147 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 34.5 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 818,847 | * | ||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 3 | 6 | - | 2 | 99.6 | 28.3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 904,814 | * | ||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 3 | 97.8 | 25.3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 970,486 | * | |||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 3 | 6 | - | 3 | 91.7 | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,012,162 | * | ||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 3 | 7 | - | 2 | 77.3 | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 571,755 | * | |||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 4 | 76.7 | 19.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 448,212 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 6 | - | 3 | 6 | - | 4 | 53.1 | 13.3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 445,123 | * | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 3 | 53.4 | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 554,120 | * | |||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | 8 | - | 2 | 27.8 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 516,469 | * | |||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | 7 | - | 3 | 28.2 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 432,994 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 3 | 8 | - | 2 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 871,858 | * | ||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 2 | 8 | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 777,038 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 3 | 8 | - | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 671,571 | * | |||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 3 | 9 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 563,348 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 2 | 9 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 23 | 3 | 455,732 | * | |||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 3 | 9 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 9 | 358,375 | * | |||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 3 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 270,926 | * | ||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 2 | 10 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 30 | 199,543 | * | ||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 141,677 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 2 | 10 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 96,719 | * | |||||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 2 | 11 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 63,732 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | 12 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 40,605 | * | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 1 | 12 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 13 | 86 | 24,741 | * | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 2 | 12 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 91 | 14,582 | * | |||||||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | 13 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 8,050 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 1 | 13 | - | 3 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 4,294 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 1 | 14 | - | 2 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 2,145 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | 14 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 1,047 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | 14 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 454 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | -12 | Out | No | 100 | 288 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | 15 | - | 3 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 33 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | -9 | Out | No | 100 | 3,005 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 58.8 | % | 25.7 | % | 6 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 14,441,784 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:40 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
