"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
PortlandPitchforks Playoff Chances 19 50/50
Lost to Apes 1-3, Lost to Wolverines 1-4, playoff odds down 19 to 27.7%
1 points 0-0 2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Apes 3 Pitchforks 1 | -10.0 | -6.6 | -0.8 | |||
| Pitchforks 1 Wolverines 4 | -10.0 | -6.5 | -0.8 | |||
| Apes 1 Snipers 2 | +0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Monday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bears vs Pitchforks | -8.6-3.4+2.5+9.0 | -4.1-1.8+1.0+4.5 | -0.8-0.3+0.2+0.8 | |||
| Nannies vs Flamingos | -0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.2 | +0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Chews vs Hipsters | +0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Rustlers vs Chews | -0.1*-0.0*+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Pandas vs Apes | +0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Wolverines vs Pixies | -0.1*-0.0*+0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Pitchforks finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||||
| 52 | -58 | In | Yes | 100 | 1,056 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 15 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 98 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 14 | - | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 277 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 13 | - | 4 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 577 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 48 | 14 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 1,128 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 47 | 13 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | 2,180 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 13 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 99.8 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 3,921 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 99.6 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 7,070 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 12 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 98.9 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 11,833 | * | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 97.5 | 66 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 18,431 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 11 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 93.9 | 53 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 28,595 | * | |||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 4 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 87.8 | 38 | 46 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 42,217 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 77.5 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60,773 | * | ||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 63.2 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83,275 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 4 | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 48.0 | 5 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 110,445 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 35.0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 142,285 | * | ||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 27.7 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176,986 | * | |||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 3 | 94.8 | 24.1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 212,666 | * | |||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 3 | 80.1 | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 247,934 | * | |||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 3 | 6 | - | 2 | 52.5 | 13.1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 166,865 | * | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 4 | 51.5 | 12.9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 114,663 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 3 | 22.7 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 172,458 | * | |||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 4 | 22.8 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 135,813 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 3 | 6 | - | 3 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 201,266 | * | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | 7 | - | 1 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 126,634 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 113,691 | * | |||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | 7 | - | 2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 224,487 | * | |||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 185,495 | * | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | 6 | - | 4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 151,900 | * | |||||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 2 | 8 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 204,070 | * | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | 7 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 123,078 | * | ||||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | 8 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 39 | 11 | 308,199 | * | |||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 23 | 114,682 | * | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 23 | 167,090 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 3 | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 38 | 248,823 | * | ||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 52 | 212,073 | * | |||||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 2 | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 66 | 176,640 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 3 | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 77 | 142,025 | * | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 2 | 9 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 85 | 110,710 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 2 | 10 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 83,443 | * | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 2 | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 60,457 | * | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | 11 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 42,313 | * | |||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 2 | 11 | - | 3 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 28,881 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 2 | 12 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 18,522 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 1 | 12 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 11,666 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | 12 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 6,932 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 2 | 13 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 3,976 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | -12 | Out | No | 100 | 3,321 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | 13 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 552 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | -9 | Out | No | 100 | 1,456 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 27.7 | % | 10.9 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 4,813,928 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:40 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
