Segunda División Title Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														La Liga			Chance will finish season at seed																								Segunda División B
	3/25		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Friday

Osasuna			60		18	-	6	-	7	14	44.5	%	-0.2	99.0	%	-0.1	45	26	15	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									2.1	-0.02	No			2		Osasuna
Granada			58		16	-	10	-	5	19	27.1		-0.2	96.3		-0.4	27	26	19	13	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0								2.8	-0.04	No			4		Granada

Albacete			56		15	-	11	-	5	17	14.7		-0.1	91.2		-0.9	15	19	20	17	13	8	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						3.6	-0.06	No			3		Albacete
Malaga			54		15	-	9	-	7	10	6.0		-0.1	81.8		-1.4	6	12	17	18	17	12	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					4.6	-0.08	No			6	Sporting	Malaga
Deportivo			53		13	-	14	-	4	18	5.0		-0.1	75.4		-1.8	5	9	14	17	17	14	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				5.0	-0.09	0.0	%		1		Deportivo
Mallorca	W	Zaragoza 3-0	51		14	-	9	-	8	13	1.5		+0.7	59.6		+12.9	2	4	8	12	16	18	15	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				6.1	+0.82	0.0		-0.0	7		Mallorca

Cadiz			49		13	-	10	-	8	14	0.8		-0.0	39.0		-2.5	1	2	4	7	11	14	16	15	12	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			7.2	-0.09	0.0			5		Cadiz
Oviedo			47		13	-	8	-	10	1	0.3		-0.0	22.9		-1.9	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	15	15	12	9	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		8.4	-0.08	0.0			10		Oviedo
Sporting			45		12	-	9	-	10	6	0.1		-0.0	12.7		-1.2	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	15	15	13	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.5	-0.05	0.0			12	at Malaga	Sporting
Almeria			45		11	-	12	-	8	7	0.0			12.0		-1.2	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	13	15	15	13	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		9.6	-0.06	0.0		-0.0	8		Almeria
Alcorcon			43		12	-	7	-	12	0	0.0		-0.0	5.4		-0.7	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	11	14	15	14	11	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	10.9	-0.02	0.1		-0.0	11		Alcorcon
Las Palmas			42		9	-	15	-	7	2	0.0			3.5		-0.5	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	14	15	13	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	11.5	+0.01	0.2		-0.0	9		Las Palmas
Elche			39		9	-	12	-	10	-3	0.0			0.7		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	16	15	12	9	6	3	1	0	0	0	13.2	+0.05	1.3		-0.1	14		Elche
Numancia			36		8	-	12	-	11	-5	0.0			0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	11	14	16	15	13	9	4	1	0	0	15.0	+0.07	5.8		-0.3	17		Numancia
Rayo			36		10	-	6	-	15	-10	0.0			0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	10	13	15	15	13	10	5	1	0	0	15.0	+0.08	7.2		-0.4	16		Rayo
Tenerife			36		7	-	15	-	9	-7	0.0			0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	11	13	14	14	13	10	6	1	0	0	15.0	+0.07	7.7		-0.4	15		Tenerife
Zaragoza	L	Mallorca 0-3	34		8	-	10	-	13	-8	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	15	17	16	11	4	1	0	16.1	-0.69	16.0		+5.0	13		Zaragoza
Lugo			32		7	-	11	-	13	-11	No			0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	12	17	20	18	8	3	0	17.2	+0.08	29.4		-1.3	18		Lugo

Extremadura			30		7	-	9	-	15	-7	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	13	19	28	15	6	1	18.1	+0.06	49.2		-1.4	20		Extremadura
Gimnastic			24		6	-	6	-	19	-27	No			No									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	13	30	30	18	20.3	+0.02	90.9		-0.5	19		Gimnastic
Cordoba			23		4	-	11	-	16	-22	No			No										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	9	24	31	30	20.7	+0.02	94.1		-0.4	22		Cordoba
Reus			21		5	-	6	-	20	-21	No			No											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	15	29	50	21.2	+0.01	97.9		-0.2	21		Reus

Week of 3/22
Tenerife 3 Osasuna 2
Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	-9.5		-0.4				-0.3
Granada	+5.0
Albacete	+1.7
Malaga	+0.8
Deportivo	+1.3
Tenerife					-6.7		+0.8
Lugo					+0.9
Extremadura					+1.9

Lugo 0 Albacete 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	-2.3
Granada	-1.7
Albacete	+5.1		+7.6				+0.7
Cadiz			-1.3
Oviedo			-1.3
Rayo					-1.0
Lugo					+7.5		-0.6
Extremadura					-2.1
Gimnastic					-1.2

Granada 1 Las Palmas 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	+1.6
Granada	-2.7						-0.1
Albacete	+0.5
Las Palmas			-1.3				-0.2

Gimnastic 0 Malaga 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Malaga	+2.4		+10.5				+0.7
Deportivo	-0.2		-1.4
Mallorca			-1.8
Cadiz			-1.8
Oviedo			-1.8
Rayo					-0.8
Lugo					-1.5
Extremadura					-1.3
Gimnastic					+5.9		-0.4

Deportivo 0 Almeria 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	+0.4
Granada	+0.4
Deportivo	-1.1		-0.9				-0.1
Almeria			-2.5				-0.2

Mallorca 3 Zaragoza 0
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Malaga			-1.4
Deportivo			-1.8
Mallorca	+0.7		+13.0		No		+0.8
Cadiz			-2.5
Oviedo			-1.9
Sporting			-1.2
Almeria			-1.2
Zaragoza					+5.1		-0.7
Lugo					-1.3
Extremadura					-1.4

Sporting 1 Oviedo 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Malaga			+0.7
Deportivo			+0.8
Mallorca			+0.8
Cadiz			+1.0
Oviedo	-0.4		-10.9				-0.8
Sporting			+6.2				+1.0

Cadiz 1 Cordoba 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Malaga			+0.5
Deportivo			+0.3
Mallorca			+0.5
Cadiz	-0.3		-3.0		*No		-0.2
Oviedo			+0.4
Almeria			+0.3
Lugo					-0.4
Cordoba					+1.6		-0.1

Elche 3 Alcorcon 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Oviedo			+0.8
Alcorcon			-5.2				-0.9
Elche			+0.5		-2.5		+0.9

Rayo 4 Numancia 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Numancia	No		-0.3		+2.5		-0.8
Rayo					-7.3		+0.9
Lugo					+1.1
Extremadura					+1.4

Extremadura 1 Reus 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Rayo					+1.7
Tenerife					+1.1
Zaragoza					+1.1
Lugo					+2.7
Extremadura					-12.5		+0.6
Gimnastic					+1.2
Reus					+3.2		-0.3

Week of 3/29
Osasuna vs ExtremaduraIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	56.741.834.6		99.899.098.1				1.72.22.4
Granada	21.828.331.4						2.92.82.7
Albacete	11.715.417.2						3.73.63.5
Lugo					26.428.732.9		17.117.117.3
Extremadura					59.751.936.5		18.618.217.5

Numancia vs GranadaHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	49.346.138.6						2.02.12.2
Granada	18.924.437.4		93.996.298.7				3.22.92.3
Numancia	0.0NoNo		0.30.10.0		2.36.19.2		14.115.115.6

Albacete vs TenerifeHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna	41.445.547.0						2.22.12.0
Albacete	21.712.79.3		96.390.886.5				3.03.74.1
Tenerife	NoNo0.0				11.78.13.5		15.715.214.2

Malaga vs SportingHomeDrawAway
Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Malaga	9.94.83.1		90.981.273.3				3.84.75.2
Sporting			6.310.320.9				10.39.78.6

Oviedo vs DeportivoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Deportivo	2.53.98.5		64.374.887.0				5.75.14.2
Oviedo	0.60.10.1		35.419.613.1				7.58.69.2

Cordoba vs MallorcaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Mallorca	0.61.02.8		48.857.072.4		0.00.0No		6.76.25.3
Cadiz			41.139.536.6				7.17.27.3
Cordoba					90.095.597.1		20.320.820.9

Reus vs CadizHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Mallorca			61.760.356.9				6.06.06.2
Cadiz	0.30.51.5		28.435.852.1				7.97.46.4

Almeria vs RayoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Almeria			19.19.96.7				8.79.810.4
Rayo	NoNo0.0		0.00.10.3		11.27.52.9		15.715.214.1

Alcorcon vs LugoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Alcorcon			9.44.02.5		0.00.10.3		9.911.011.7
Lugo					38.731.318.6		17.817.316.4
Extremadura					46.148.652.8		18.018.118.2

Las Palmas vs ElcheHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Las Palmas			6.32.51.5		0.00.20.4		10.511.712.4
Elche			0.20.41.5		2.31.20.3		14.113.412.2

Zaragoza vs GimnasticHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	La Liga	100.0*	Segunda División B	100.0*	Average seed
Zaragoza					7.916.323.9		15.316.316.8
Gimnastic					95.893.184.4		20.620.419.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Segunda División Title Chances 50/50

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