Austin SSC Summer Softball Playoff Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														One Seed			Chance will finish regular season at seed															Last Place
	Thursday		P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

LIME	W	ROYAL 17-5	12		6	-	0	-	0	64	In			Yes		+48.0	100													1.0	+0.71	No			1	Goatsuckers

INDIGO	W	AZALEA 7-0	11		5	-	0	-	1	43	In			No		-23.0		100												2.0	+0.04	No			4	The COTA Show
ROYAL	L	LIME 5-17	8		4	-	2	-	0	4	In			No		-25.0			100											3.0	-0.63	No			3	Screw Balls
SKY	W	MILITARY 12-4	8		4	-	2	-	0	4	In		+41.6	No						100										4.0	+0.33	No			2	Teabaggers

WHITE	W	BLACK 21-7	8		4	-	2	-	0	9	Out		-26.9	No							100									5.0	+1.16	No			9	That One Team
GOLD	W	PURPLE 18-7	6		3	-	3	-	0	8	Out			No								100								6.0	+2.94	No			11	Whack-a-Balls!
ORANGE	W	CAROLINA 13-6	6		3	-	3	-	0	3	Out		-4.4	No									100							7.0	+1.04	No			5	Austin Cubs
CAROLINA	L	ORANGE 6-13	4		2	-	4	-	0	-8	Out			No										100						8.0	+0.02	No			6	Mother Bunters
PURPLE	L	GOLD 7-18 W MAROON 10-3	4		2	-	4	-	0	-26	Out		-0.1	No											100					9.0	+0.70	No		-23.1	8	Kinnser Soze
BLACK	L	WHITE 7-21	4		2	-	4	-	0	-9	Out		-10.3	No												100				10.0	-2.47	No			10	Multiple Scoregasms
AZALEA	L	INDIGO 0-7	4		2	-	4	-	0	-15	Out			No													100			11.0	-1.93	No			7	No helmet feels better
MILITARY	L	SKY 4-12	3		1	-	4	-	1	-25	Out			No														100		12.0	-1.68	No			12	Bad Tanlines

MAROON	L	PURPLE 3-10	0		0	-	6	-	0	-52	Out			No															100	13.0	-0.23	Yes		+23.1	13	Hit and Booze

Week of 7/13
WHITE 6 ROYAL 13
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
LIME	+2.3		-7.1
INDIGO			-4.3
ROYAL	+25.2		+17.3				+1.2
SKY	+3.5
WHITE	-35.3		No				-1.6
GOLD	+0.1						+0.2
ORANGE	+2.9						+0.2
CAROLINA	-0.3		No
BLACK	+2.3

ORANGE 9 SKY 10
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
LIME	+3.1		+1.3
INDIGO	+2.8
ROYAL	-1.6
SKY	+23.0						+1.7
WHITE	-0.9		-1.7
GOLD	+0.1
ORANGE	-21.7				+0.4		-1.6
CAROLINA	-4.6		No				-0.2
BLACK					+1.6
AZALEA					-1.6

BLACK 9 CAROLINA 5
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
INDIGO	+2.0
ROYAL	+5.1
SKY	-1.3
WHITE	+5.9
ORANGE	+1.6
CAROLINA	-17.9		No				-1.4
PURPLE	+1.7				+1.9		+0.2
BLACK	+3.2				-7.1		+1.8
AZALEA					+2.7		-0.3
MILITARY							-0.2

PURPLE 6 LIME 16
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
LIME	In		+17.1				+0.5
INDIGO			-11.9				-0.2
ROYAL	-1.7		-1.2
SKY	+3.1						+0.2
WHITE	-1.4		-3.9
GOLD							-0.2
CAROLINA	+2.5		No		No		+0.3
PURPLE	-8.3				+6.8		-1.1
BLACK					+1.0
AZALEA					-1.5		+0.2
MAROON					-6.3

MILITARY 7 INDIGO 7
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
LIME			-5.1
INDIGO	In		+12.3				+0.4
ROYAL	-1.4		-5.3
WHITE	-2.3		-1.9
GOLD							+0.2
CAROLINA			*No
AZALEA					+5.3		-0.3
MILITARY	*Out				-2.5		-0.1
MAROON					-1.8

MAROON 2 AZALEA 13
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
LIME			+1.3
SKY	+1.7
WHITE			-1.4
GOLD					No		-0.3
ORANGE					No
CAROLINA					No		+0.2
PURPLE					+1.4		-0.2
BLACK					-4.7
AZALEA					No		+1.3
MILITARY					No		-0.2
MAROON					+28.3		-0.7

Week of 7/20
SKY 12 MILITARY 4
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
SKY	In						+0.5
WHITE	Out						-0.5
ORANGE							+0.4
CAROLINA							+0.3
BLACK							+0.4
MILITARY							-1.4

BLACK 7 WHITE 21
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
SKY	-10.4						-0.2
WHITE	+25.1						+1.7
ORANGE	Out
PURPLE	Out						+0.3
BLACK	Out						-2.2
MILITARY							+0.2

PURPLE 7 GOLD 18
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
SKY	-3.0
WHITE							-0.2
GOLD							+2.0
ORANGE	-1.5
PURPLE	Out				+25.0		-2.0
BLACK	+4.6
MAROON					-25.0		+0.2

LIME 17 ROYAL 5
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
LIME			Yes				+0.7
INDIGO			No
ROYAL			No				-0.9
ORANGE	-1.4						-0.2
BLACK	+1.4

PURPLE 10 MAROON 3
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
CAROLINA							-0.2
PURPLE					No		+1.8
BLACK							-0.2
AZALEA							-0.4
MILITARY							-0.3
MAROON					Yes		-0.5

CAROLINA 6 ORANGE 13
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
GOLD							+0.7
ORANGE							+1.1
CAROLINA							-2.0
BLACK							+0.6
AZALEA							-0.3

AZALEA 0 INDIGO 7
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	One Seed	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
GOLD							+0.2
ORANGE							+0.3
CAROLINA							+0.5
PURPLE							+0.4
AZALEA							-1.7
MILITARY							+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Austin SSC Summer Softball Playoff Chances 50/50

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