"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County 0 Mansfield 2 +0.1
+0.5
-0.1
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
York 1 Hartlepool 2 No
-5.5
+15.6
-3.5
Barnet 0 Wycombe 2 -0.1
-0.4
-1.2
+0.1
Northampton 3 Exeter 0 -0.1
-0.2
Dag & Red 1 Leyton Orient 3 -0.1
-0.4
-1.2
+0.0
Carlisle 4 Cambridge 4 +0.1
+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Luton 2 Oxford Utd 2 +0.1
+0.3
+0.4
+0.1
Plymouth 1 Portsmouth 2 -0.1
Crawley 1 Wimbledon 2 +0.5
-0.0
Morecambe 1 Accrington 0 +0.5
-0.0
York 1 Yeovil 0 +0.2
-30.2
+3.8
Yeovil 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.2
+0.5
-0.1
Newport 2 Stevenage 2 +0.1
+0.1
Barnet 2 Northampton 0 +3.0
-0.2
Luton 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.6
Wimbledon 1 Cambridge 2 -0.2
+0.1
Morecambe 0 Wycombe 1 -0.2
+0.1
Plymouth 4 Carlisle 1 -0.5
+0.1
Hartlepool 1 Newport 0 -2.1
+0.2
Oxford Utd 3 Notts County 1 *+0.1
Leyton Orient 3 Stevenage 0 -1.9
+0.2
Accrington 1 Mansfield 0 +1.4
-0.1
Dag & Red 1 Exeter 2 -2.6
+0.1
Crawley 0 Portsmouth 0 +0.5
+0.0
Week of 8/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Mansfield 1 Oxford Utd 1 +0.1
Bristol Rovers 3 Barnet 1 No
-0.1
+0.2
Exeter 0 York 0 No
No
-1.2
Notts County 1 Accrington 1 +0.1
Northampton 0 Plymouth 2 +0.1
Carlisle 1 Wimbledon 1 +0.4
-0.1
Portsmouth 3 Morecambe 3 -0.1
Stevenage 2 Hartlepool 0 +0.7
-0.3
Newport 2 Leyton Orient 3 No
+0.2
Wycombe 1 Dag & Red 1 No
+0.1
Cambridge 0 Crawley 3 +0.3
-0.3
Yeovil 3 Luton 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship