How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County 0 Mansfield 2 +0.5
+0.4
+0.1
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Plymouth 1 Portsmouth 2 +13.0
+25.4
No
+3.8
Crawley 0 Portsmouth 0 -6.2
-5.1
+0.1
Morecambe 0 Wycombe 1 -4.2
-2.6
-0.1
Leyton Orient 3 Stevenage 0 -3.8
-3.5
-0.2
Hartlepool 1 Newport 0 -3.2
-3.4
-0.2
Barnet 2 Northampton 0 +2.9
+3.0
+0.2
Wimbledon 1 Cambridge 2 -1.3
-1.8
-0.1
Barnet 0 Wycombe 2 -1.2
-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
York 1 Hartlepool 2 -1.1
-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Dag & Red 1 Leyton Orient 3 -1.1
-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Carlisle 4 Cambridge 4 +0.7
+1.0
+0.1
Accrington 1 Mansfield 0 +0.6
+1.4
+0.1
Luton 2 Oxford Utd 2 +0.5
+0.9
+0.1
Northampton 3 Exeter 0 -0.4
-0.4
-0.0
Plymouth 4 Carlisle 1 -0.3
-1.4
-0.1
Morecambe 1 Accrington 0 +0.2
+0.2
-0.1
Luton 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.2
-1.2
-0.1
Newport 2 Stevenage 2 +0.1
+0.5
+0.1
Oxford Utd 3 Notts County 1 *+0.1
+0.6
+0.0
Crawley 1 Wimbledon 2 *-0.1
+0.1
-0.0
Dag & Red 1 Exeter 2 -1.0
-0.1
Yeovil 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.1
-0.0
Week of 8/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Newport 2 Leyton Orient 3 No
-3.1
-0.2
Portsmouth 3 Morecambe 3 No
-19.8
-0.8
Stevenage 2 Hartlepool 0 +3.1
+3.1
+0.1
Wycombe 1 Dag & Red 1 +1.8
+0.2
+0.0
Cambridge 0 Crawley 3 +1.1
+3.8
+0.3
Mansfield 1 Oxford Utd 1 +2.8
+0.3
Bristol Rovers 3 Barnet 1 -2.8
-0.4
Exeter 0 York 0 +1.4
+0.2
Notts County 1 Accrington 1 +0.7
+0.1
Northampton 0 Plymouth 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship