How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County 0 Mansfield 2 +0.5
+0.5
+0.1
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Plymouth 1 Portsmouth 2 -9.7
-20.2
+0.8
-3.6
Plymouth 4 Carlisle 1 +2.0
+18.2
No
+4.6
Barnet 0 Wycombe 2 -1.3
-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Dag & Red 1 Leyton Orient 3 -1.2
-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
York 1 Hartlepool 2 -1.1
-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Morecambe 0 Wycombe 1 -0.6
-1.1
+0.1
Leyton Orient 3 Stevenage 0 -0.6
-1.4
-0.2
+0.0
Hartlepool 1 Newport 0 -0.6
-1.4
-0.2
Carlisle 4 Cambridge 4 +0.5
+0.9
+0.1
Northampton 3 Exeter 0 +0.4
*-0.1
+0.0
Luton 2 Oxford Utd 2 +0.4
+0.8
+0.1
Wimbledon 1 Cambridge 2 -0.3
-0.9
Accrington 1 Mansfield 0 +0.2
+0.7
+0.2
Crawley 1 Wimbledon 2 +0.2
*+0.1
Morecambe 1 Accrington 0 +0.1
*+0.1
Luton 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.1
-0.5
-0.1
-0.0
Barnet 2 Northampton 0 +0.1
+1.1
+0.3
Yeovil 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.2
-0.0
Dag & Red 1 Exeter 2 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Oxford Utd 3 Notts County 1 +0.1
-0.0
Crawley 0 Portsmouth 0 +0.2
+0.1
Newport 2 Stevenage 2 +0.5
+0.1
York 1 Yeovil 0 +0.1
-0.0
Week of 8/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Stevenage 2 Hartlepool 0 +1.1
+6.8
+0.2
Northampton 0 Plymouth 2 +1.1
+30.4
+3.2
Newport 2 Leyton Orient 3 No
-3.6
-0.1
Wycombe 1 Dag & Red 1 No
-4.0
-0.1
Portsmouth 3 Morecambe 3 +0.4
+3.2
+0.1
Cambridge 0 Crawley 3 +0.4
+4.7
+0.3
Bristol Rovers 3 Barnet 1 -1.6
-0.2
Mansfield 1 Oxford Utd 1 +1.0
+0.2
Exeter 0 York 0 +0.7
Notts County 1 Accrington 1 +0.2
+0.2
Carlisle 1 Wimbledon 1 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship