"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County 0 Mansfield 2 +0.4
+0.5
+0.1
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton 3 Exeter 0 -8.3
-20.0
+1.2
-3.7
Barnet 0 Wycombe 2 -1.1
-1.4
-0.2
-0.1
York 1 Hartlepool 2 -1.0
-1.5
-0.1
Dag & Red 1 Leyton Orient 3 -0.9
-1.5
-0.1
Carlisle 4 Cambridge 4 +0.6
+1.0
+0.1
Dag & Red 1 Exeter 2 +0.6
+12.6
No
+4.6
Luton 2 Oxford Utd 2 +0.4
+0.8
+0.1
Plymouth 1 Portsmouth 2 -0.3
-0.4
-0.0
Crawley 1 Wimbledon 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
Barnet 2 Northampton 0 +0.2
+1.2
+1.0
-0.1
Leyton Orient 3 Stevenage 0 -0.2
-1.2
-0.7
+0.1
Morecambe 0 Wycombe 1 -0.2
-0.8
-0.1
+0.1
Hartlepool 1 Newport 0 -0.2
-1.2
-0.7
+0.0
Morecambe 1 Accrington 0 +0.1
*+0.1
+0.1
Newport 2 Stevenage 2 +0.1
+0.5
-0.1
+0.1
Wimbledon 1 Cambridge 2 -0.1
-0.6
-0.2
Plymouth 4 Carlisle 1 -0.1
-0.7
-0.4
-0.0
Accrington 1 Mansfield 0 +0.1
+0.4
+0.8
-0.1
Luton 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.5
-0.6
Oxford Utd 3 Notts County 1 +0.2
+0.2
Crawley 0 Portsmouth 0 +0.3
-0.1
+0.1
Yeovil 0 Bristol Rovers 1 -0.2
+0.1
-0.0
York 1 Yeovil 0 -0.6
-0.0
Week of 8/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Stevenage 2 Hartlepool 0 +0.1
+2.1
+0.2
Exeter 0 York 0 No
-10.0
-0.0
Newport 2 Leyton Orient 3 No
-0.6
-0.0
Wycombe 1 Dag & Red 1 No
-0.9
-0.1
Northampton 0 Plymouth 2 -1.1
Portsmouth 3 Morecambe 3 +1.0
+0.3
Cambridge 0 Crawley 3 +1.3
+0.2
Bristol Rovers 3 Barnet 1 -1.3
-0.2
Mansfield 1 Oxford Utd 1 +1.0
+0.2
Notts County 1 Accrington 1 +0.2
+0.4
Carlisle 1 Wimbledon 1 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship