New Zealand Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Knights 18-36, playoff odds down 7.3 to 3.9%
4 points 2-0-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Warriors 18 Knights 36 | -4.8 | +4.5 | -0.7 | |||
| Sharks 20 Storm 18 | -0.7 | +0.1 | -0.1 | |||
| Roosters 42 Tigers 12 | +0.3 | |||||
| Sea Eagles 18 Bulldogs 10 | -0.1 | -0.5 | +0.0 | |||
| Rabbitohs 38 Broncos 6 | +0.1 | -0.3 | +0.0 | |||
| Eels 32 Dragons 18 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cowboys 28 Titans 14 | +0.1 | +0.4 | ||||
| Raiders 30 Panthers 12 | -0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Warriors vs Dragons | +1.9-0.8-2.1 | -6.5+0.3+7.0 | +0.5-0.1-0.6 | |||
| Bulldogs vs Knights | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | +1.7+0.5-1.4 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||
| Tigers vs Panthers | -0.1+0.0+0.3 | -0.7+0.7+1.5 | ||||
| Titans vs Sharks | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | +1.2+0.3-1.0 | ||||
| Rabbitohs vs Cowboys | +0.1-0.1-0.3 | -0.2+0.4+0.7 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Sea Eagles vs Broncos | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | -0.5+0.6+1.5 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Storm vs Eels | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Roosters vs Raiders | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Warriors finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Spoon | Count | ||||
| 36 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 53 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,834,735 | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 26 | 50 | 21 | 3 | No | 330 | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 14 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,035 | * | |||||||||||||
| 33 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 29 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 9,796 | * | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 2 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 318,372 | * | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 5 | 31 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 129,498 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,815,150 | * | |||||||||
| 29 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,048,685 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,009,569 | * | |||||||||
| 27 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,777,958 | * | ||||||||||
| 26 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 96.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,679,447 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 896,997 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 87.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,932,389 | * | |||||||||
| 24 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 69.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 242,077,001 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 69.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,205,601 | * | ||||||||||
| 23 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 38.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 67,515,986 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 39.2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 267,424 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 609,368,457 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,429,796 | * | ||||||||||
| 21 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 151,266,431 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 617,757 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,187,070,658 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 16,610,056 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 259,073,555 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,053,335 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,795,481,033 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 24,603,215 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0.7 | 339,094,215 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0.7 | 1,322,821 | * | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 3.5 | 2,101,425,067 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 3.6 | 27,296,901 | * | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 11.3 | 336,402,047 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 38 | 12 | 11.7 | 1,211,595 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 24 | 24.1 | 1,882,284,319 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 24.8 | 22,313,247 | * | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 45 | 45.0 | 248,264,559 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 46 | 45.7 | 781,492 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | 60.8 | 1,264,531,445 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 62 | 62.1 | 13,017,106 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 79.7 | 131,923,188 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 80.2 | 339,069 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 87.6 | 615,719,632 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 88.4 | 5,128,237 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 95.6 | 47,709,672 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 97.6 | 204,803,595 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 97.8 | 1,218,166 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.4 | 10,439,883 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99.7 | 41,701,829 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 1,046,960 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 5,708,265 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 20.5 | % | 11,796,798,576 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:42 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
