St George-Illawarra Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Eels 18-32, playoff odds down 16.7 to 24.4%
6 points 3-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eels 32 Dragons 18 | -7.0 | +0.6 | -0.5 | |||
| Sharks 20 Storm 18 | -1.4 | -0.1 | ||||
| Warriors 18 Knights 36 | -0.8 | -0.1 | ||||
| Roosters 42 Tigers 12 | +0.7 | +0.0 | ||||
| Sea Eagles 18 Bulldogs 10 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Rabbitohs 38 Broncos 6 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.0 | |||
| Cowboys 28 Titans 14 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Raiders 30 Panthers 12 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Warriors vs Dragons | -7.0-0.9+7.6 | +1.7-0.5-1.9 | -0.6+0.0+0.7 | |||
| Bulldogs vs Knights | +1.1*-0.0-0.9 | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | ||||
| Titans vs Sharks | +1.0-0.0-0.8 | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Tigers vs Panthers | -0.6+0.3+1.2 | -0.2+0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Rabbitohs vs Cowboys | +0.3-0.4-1.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Sea Eagles vs Broncos | -0.2+0.1+0.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Storm vs Eels | +0.2-0.3-0.4 | |||||
| Roosters vs Raiders | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dragons finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Spoon | Count | ||||
| 38 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,851,775 | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 53 | 41 | 6 | 0 | No | 6,668 | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 36 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 388,515 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 35 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 18 | 48 | 30 | 4 | 0 | No | 138,435 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 9 | 38 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,943,026 | * | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 3 | 22 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,295,446 | * | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 24,507,521 | * | |||||||||||
| 31 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,386,615 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 103,394,953 | ||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,026,382 | * | |||||||||||
| 29 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 28,769,537 | * | |||||||||
| 28 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 319,856,808 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,634,551 | * | ||||||||||
| 27 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 99.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 80,986,888 | * | |||||||||
| 26 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 96.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 745,424,975 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 96.1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,225,716 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 86.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 169,681,193 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 86.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 630,039 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 67.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,335,767,699 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 67.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,341,212 | * | ||||||||||
| 23 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 39.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 271,701,757 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 39.9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,044,741 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,860,820,535 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 24,515,445 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 334,137,618 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,282,087 | * | ||||||||||
| 20 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 2,022,723,012 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 26,192,525 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 315,723,258 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,164,800 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,710,626,517 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 21,072,197 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0.4 | 227,355,448 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 775,689 | * | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 2.9 | 1,113,913,691 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 2.8 | 12,565,745 | * | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 34 | 9 | 9.0 | 122,608,343 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 34 | 9 | 9.2 | 367,672 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 21.9 | 547,667,884 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 22.2 | 5,383,751 | * | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 41 | 41.1 | 48,042,074 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 59 | 58.8 | 196,569,561 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | 59.7 | 1,569,967 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 77.5 | 12,841,209 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 87.0 | 48,584,219 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 87.7 | 277,789 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 95.1 | 2,099,835 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 97.6 | 7,401,098 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 1 | 99 | 99.5 | 159,425 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 2,352,730 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 24.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3.1 | % | 11,796,798,576 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:42 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
