Women's Rugby World Cup Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
New Zealand +26.8, France -26.3
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Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Chance will finish regular season at seed | 9th-12th Playoffs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | D | - | L | GD | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Avg. | Change | % | Change | RPI | |||||
| New Zealand | 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 153 | 90.2 | % | +26.8 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 2.7 | +1.39 | No | -4.1 | 1 | New Zealand | |||||||||
| England | 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 94 | 80.9 | +15.5 | 31 | 19 | 1 | 30 | 19 | 0 | 2.9 | +1.09 | No | -4.1 | 1 | England | ||||||||||
| United States | 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 55 | 78.1 | +16.5 | 28 | 21 | 29 | 22 | 0 | 2.9 | +1.21 | No | -5.0 | 1 | United States | |||||||||||
| Canada | 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 113 | 50.6 | -18.2 | 1 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 33 | 17 | 3.7 | +0.02 | No | -2.8 | 1 | Canada | ||||||||||
| Ireland | 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 50.2 | +21.1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 12 | 4.6 | +1.38 | No | -23.5 | 10 | Ireland | |||||||||
| France | 5 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 58 | 40.9 | -26.3 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 10 | 28 | 22 | 4.8 | -0.86 | No | -4.6 | 11 | France | |||||||||
| Australia | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | -2 | 9.1 | -14.2 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 | -0.05 | 25.6 | % | -2.5 | 1 | Australia | |||||
| Japan | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | -68 | Out | -6.8 | 10 | 20 | 14 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 9.5 | -0.58 | 69.8 | +2.9 | 12 | Japan | ||||||||||
| Italy | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | -55 | Out | -4.5 | 6 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 9.6 | -0.80 | 66.2 | +4.4 | 1 | Italy | ||||||||||
| Wales | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | -47 | Out | -3.7 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 14 | 23 | 15 | 9.7 | -0.74 | 69.0 | +4.9 | 1 | Wales | ||||||||||
| Spain | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | -94 | Out | -3.8 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 11 | 26 | 17 | 9.8 | -0.82 | 72.6 | +7.0 | 1 | Spain | ||||||||||
| Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | -219 | Out | -2.6 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 46 | 10.5 | -1.24 | 96.8 | +27.4 | 1 | Hong Kong | ||||||||||
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 8/9 | ||||||
| Canada 98 Hong Kong 0 | ||||||
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada | +24.3 | -14.7 | +1.8 | |||
| Wales | -1.7 | -1.3 | ||||
| Hong Kong | -16.9 | +22.3 | -1.8 | |||
| Ireland 24 Japan 14 | ||||||
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | -2.9 | -0.3 | ||||
| England | -2.0 | -0.3 | ||||
| United States | -2.6 | -0.3 | ||||
| Ireland | +23.3 | -23.4 | +2.0 | |||
| France | -3.7 | -2.0 | -0.2 | |||
| Australia | -0.5 | |||||
| Japan | Out | +25.2 | -1.6 | |||
| Italy | +0.4 | |||||
| Wales | +0.5 | |||||
| Spain | +0.4 | |||||
| Canada 15 Wales 0 | ||||||
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | -4.3 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |||
| England | -2.7 | -1.6 | ||||
| United States | -3.7 | -2.0 | ||||
| Canada | +22.9 | No | +1.3 | |||
| France | -2.4 | -1.4 | ||||
| Japan | -2.9 | |||||
| Italy | -1.8 | -4.2 | ||||
| Wales | Out | +22.6 | -1.4 | |||
| Spain | -1.4 | -3.2 | ||||
| England 56 Italy 13 | ||||||
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | -3.1 | -1.5 | ||||
| England | +21.4 | No | +1.4 | |||
| United States | -5.4 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |||
| France | -1.7 | -1.3 | ||||
| Japan | -2.8 | |||||
| Italy | Out | +21.9 | -1.4 | |||
| Wales | -1.4 | -3.6 | ||||
| Spain | -1.3 | -3.1 | ||||
| Hong Kong | -2.0 | |||||
| New Zealand 121 Hong Kong 0 | ||||||
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | +21.4 | No | +1.3 | |||
| England | -2.8 | -1.4 | ||||
| United States | -3.8 | -1.8 | ||||
| Canada | -2.6 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |||
| France | -2.4 | -1.2 | ||||
| Japan | -2.8 | |||||
| Italy | -2.1 | -4.2 | ||||
| Wales | -1.3 | -3.1 | ||||
| Spain | -1.7 | -3.2 | ||||
| Hong Kong | Out | +23.7 | -1.4 | |||
| United States 43 Spain 0 | ||||||
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | -3.1 | -1.4 | ||||
| England | -4.4 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |||
| United States | +20.4 | No | +1.4 | |||
| France | -1.8 | -1.1 | ||||
| Japan | -2.7 | |||||
| Italy | -1.5 | -3.9 | ||||
| Wales | -1.6 | -3.6 | ||||
| Spain | Out | +22.6 | -1.4 | |||
| Hong Kong | -2.0 | |||||
| New Zealand 44 Wales 12 | ||||||
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | +20.2 | -19.8 | +1.9 | |||
| Wales | -19.8 | +20.2 | -1.9 | |||
| England 56 Spain 5 | ||||||
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | +20.2 | -19.8 | +1.9 | |||
| Spain | -19.8 | +20.2 | -1.9 | |||
| United States 24 Italy 12 | ||||||
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | +18.4 | -21.0 | +1.8 | |||
| Italy | -18.2 | +21.5 | -1.8 | |||
| Ireland 19 Australia 17 | ||||||
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ireland | +17.8 | -21.9 | +1.8 | |||
| Australia | -17.7 | +22.7 | -1.8 | |||
| Italy | -0.2 | |||||
| France 72 Japan 14 | ||||||
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ireland | -0.2 | |||||
| France | +16.3 | -22.5 | +1.8 | |||
| Japan | -16.2 | +23.4 | -1.8 | |||
| France vs AustraliaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| France | 50.649.330.9 | 4.24.75.5 | ||||
| Australia | OutOut18.4 | 50.649.3No | 8.58.25.6 | |||
| Japan | 60.260.379.6 | 9.39.39.8 | ||||
| Italy | 61.561.971.1 | 9.59.59.8 | ||||
| Wales | 64.664.773.6 | 9.69.69.8 | ||||
| Spain | 67.467.577.8 | 9.79.710.0 | ||||
| Week of 8/17 | ||||||
| Canada vs New ZealandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | 80.1InIn | 4.22.31.2 | ||||
| England | 62.750.699.9 | 2.93.02.9 | ||||
| United States | 57.150.699.8 | 2.93.02.9 | ||||
| Canada | In98.8Out | 2.14.05.3 | ||||
| Ireland vs FranceHomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | 81.074.981.0 | 2.93.02.9 | ||||
| United States | 78.269.478.2 | 2.93.12.9 | ||||
| Ireland | In67.5Out | 3.03.96.2 | ||||
| France | Out49.281.5 | 6.34.83.3 | ||||
| Australia | OutOut18.5 | 7.27.46.9 | ||||
| England vs United StatesHomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand | 93.450.587.9 | 2.73.02.7 | ||||
| England | InIn61.4 | 1.42.54.4 | ||||
| United States | 55.7InIn | 4.44.01.4 | ||||
| Canada | 3.73.33.7 | |||||
| Australia vs JapanHomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| France | 31.550.050.0 | 5.14.64.5 | ||||
| Australia | 18.5OutOut | No48.250.6 | 5.87.78.3 | |||
| Japan | YesYes38.9 | 10.810.08.3 | ||||
| Italy | 64.557.668.2 | 9.59.59.7 | ||||
| Wales | 68.959.769.5 | 9.69.69.8 | ||||
| Spain | 69.960.575.6 | 9.79.710.0 | ||||
| Hong Kong | *96.874.097.3 | 10.410.210.7 | ||||
| Italy vs SpainHomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Japan | 72.358.467.6 | |||||
| Italy | 31.7YesYes | 8.29.311.0 | ||||
| Wales | 72.454.666.1 | 9.79.89.7 | ||||
| Spain | YesYes44.5 | 11.210.38.4 | ||||
| Hong Kong | 98.162.196.3 | 10.510.110.5 | ||||
| Wales vs Hong KongHomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 9th-12th Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Japan | 76.861.962.9 | 9.59.79.5 | ||||
| Italy | 75.855.856.9 | 9.69.89.6 | ||||
| Wales | 37.499.1Yes | 8.39.211.1 | ||||
| Spain | 84.458.161.1 | 9.89.99.8 | ||||
| Hong Kong | YesYes93.5 | 11.910.39.2 | ||||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:38 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
