Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed9th-12th Playoffs
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
England102-0-09480.9%+15.531191301902.9+1.09No-4.11England
United States102-0-05578.1+16.52821292202.9+1.21No-5.01United States
Italy00-0-2-55Out-4.5628151327129.6-0.8066.2%+4.41Italy
Spain00-0-2-94Out-3.8424181126179.8-0.8272.6+7.01Spain

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/9
England 56 Spain 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England+20.2
-19.8
+1.9
United States-0.1
-0.1
Italy-0.1
-0.1
Spain-19.8
+20.2
-1.9
United States 24 Italy 12
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-0.1
+0.0
United States+18.4
-21.0
+1.8
Italy-18.2
+21.5
-1.8
Spain-0.1
-0.1
England 56 Italy 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England+21.4
No
+1.4
United States-5.4
-1.5
-0.2
ItalyOut
+21.9
-1.4
Spain-1.3
-3.1
+0.1
United States 43 Spain 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-4.4
-1.3
-0.2
United States+20.4
No
+1.4
Italy-1.5
-3.9
+0.1
SpainOut
+22.6
-1.4
New Zealand 121 Hong Kong 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-2.8
-1.4
-0.1
United States-3.8
-1.8
-0.1
Italy-2.1
-4.2
+0.1
Spain-1.7
-3.2
+0.1
Canada 15 Wales 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-2.7
-1.6
-0.1
United States-3.7
-2.0
-0.1
Italy-1.8
-4.2
+0.1
Spain-1.4
-3.2
+0.1
Ireland 24 Japan 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-2.0
-0.3
-0.1
United States-2.6
-0.3
-0.1
Italy-0.9
+0.4
+0.0
Spain-0.7
+0.4
+0.0
Canada 98 Hong Kong 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-0.6
-0.3
-0.0
United States-1.5
-0.4
Italy-1.0
-1.4
Spain-0.6
-0.7
+0.0
New Zealand 44 Wales 12
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy-0.1
France 72 Japan 14
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-0.1
United States-0.1
Italy-0.1
Spain-0.1
Ireland 19 Australia 17
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England-0.1
United States-0.1
Italy-0.2
Spain-0.1
France vs AustraliaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England80.8*81.081.0
United States78.0*78.378.2
Italy61.561.971.1
9.59.59.8
Spain67.467.577.8
9.79.710.0
Week of 8/17
Canada vs New ZealandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England62.750.699.9
2.93.02.9
United States57.150.699.8
2.93.02.9
England vs United StatesHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
EnglandInIn61.4
1.42.54.4
United States55.7InIn
4.44.01.4
Ireland vs FranceHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
England81.074.981.0
2.93.02.9
United States78.269.478.2
2.93.12.9
Italy vs SpainHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy31.7YesYes
8.29.311.0
SpainYesYes44.5
11.210.38.4
Wales vs Hong KongHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy75.855.856.9
9.69.89.6
Spain84.458.161.1
9.89.99.8
Australia vs JapanHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*9th-12th Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy64.557.668.2
9.59.59.7
Spain69.960.575.6
9.79.710.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.