SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Japan Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Lost to Ireland 14-24, playoff odds down 6.8 to 0%

0 points 0-0-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 8/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	9th-12th Playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
France 72 Japan 14	-16.2		+23.4		-1.8
Ireland 24 Japan 14	Out		+25.2		-1.6
New Zealand 121 Hong Kong 0	-0.9		-2.8		+0.1
United States 43 Spain 0	-0.8		-2.7		+0.1
Canada 15 Wales 0	-0.8		-2.9		+0.1
England 56 Italy 13	-0.8		-2.8		+0.1
Canada 98 Hong Kong 0	-0.3		-0.7		+0.0
Ireland 19 Australia 17	-0.1		-0.1
New Zealand 44 Wales 12			-0.1
United States 24 Italy 12			*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
France vs Australia			-9.6-9.4+9.8		+0.2+0.2-0.3

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/17	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	9th-12th Playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Australia vs Japan			YesYes-30.9		-1.3-0.5+1.3
Wales vs Hong Kong			+7.0-7.8-6.8		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Italy vs Spain			+2.5-11.4-2.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed												9th-12th
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Playoffs		Count

4		1	-	0	-	0	Out								21	40	29	10			38.9	%	6,989,342
2		0	-	1	-	0	Out											100			Yes		169,982
0		0	-	0	-	1	Out											40	40	20	Yes		6,981,020

Total:							Out								10	20	14	25	20	10	69.8	%	14,140,344

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs