SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Ireland Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Beat Japan 24-14, playoff odds up 21.1 to 50.2%

8 points 2-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 8/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	9th-12th Playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ireland 24 Japan 14	+23.3		-23.4		+2.0
Ireland 19 Australia 17	+17.8		-21.9		+1.8
New Zealand 121 Hong Kong 0	-0.6		-0.5		-0.0
United States 43 Spain 0	-0.5		-0.5		-0.0
Canada 15 Wales 0	-0.5		-0.5		-0.0
England 56 Italy 13	-0.4		-0.5		-0.0
Canada 98 Hong Kong 0	-0.3		-0.7
France 72 Japan 14	-0.2
United States 24 Italy 12			*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
France vs Australia	-0.4+0.5+0.4				+0.1+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/17	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	9th-12th Playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ireland vs France	In+17.3Out				+1.6+0.7-1.6
England vs United States	+0.1-0.4*-0.0				-0.0+0.2-0.0
Canada vs New Zealand	-0.2*-0.3+0.2				-0.0+0.1+0.0
Australia vs Japan					-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ireland finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed												9th-12th
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Playoffs		Count

12		1	-	0	-	0	In		0	1	99										No		6,986,881
10		0	-	1	-	0	67.5	%			51	17	24	9							No		169,784
8		0	-	0	-	1	Out							76	24						No		6,983,679

Total:							50.2	%	0	0	50	0	0	37	12						No		14,140,344

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs