"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPI
Brumbies356-2-18482.5%-1.323171214976432110003.9-0.071Brumbies
Blues3124-0-35277.9-2.424159121086543210004.2-0.167Blues
Reds336-1-21372.7-1.9141391612107754310004.8-0.193Reds
Chiefs3015-0-37164.5-2.6111061513109865421005.5-0.179Chiefs
Bulls2815-0-33555.9+17.6612214688887642106.0+1.622Bulls
Sharks2715-0-35147.1-10.8681168910999752106.7-0.896Sharks
Hurricanes2715-0-3-745.7-3.755410101010999852106.9-0.2111Hurricanes
Stormers2423-0-4139.3-3.94610568991010974207.5-0.294Stormers
Crusaders2614-0-45238.0+8.93438101010111010974107.6+0.8910Crusaders
Cheetahs276-0-3-235.5+7.3259469101012111074107.6+0.815Cheetahs
Waratahs2514-0-4-3032.0-2.124458991011111185208.1-0.138Waratahs
Rebels1912-0-6-966.2-0.70011124561013201914311.2-0.0813Rebels
Kings1512-1-5-901.9-4.3001001124591624281012.5-0.9012Kings
Force162-0-7-420.6-0.1000000112471425321312.9+0.0415Force
Highlanders610-0-8-920.0-0.10000000127177314.6-0.2614Highlanders

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/19
Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulls+0.2
Sharks-13.6
-1.1
Stormers+0.6
+0.1
Cheetahs+12.4
+1.2
Kings 0 Bulls 34
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.4
Blues-0.5
Reds-0.7
Chiefs-0.7
Bulls+12.0
+1.1
Sharks-1.2
-0.1
Hurricanes-0.9
Stormers-1.1
-0.1
Crusaders-0.7
Cheetahs-1.0
Waratahs-0.7
Rebels-0.3
Kings-3.9
-0.8
Hurricanes 22 Force 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.6
Blues-0.9
-0.1
Reds-0.9
Chiefs-1.0
-0.1
Bulls-0.9
Sharks-1.0
Hurricanes+11.9
+1.0
Stormers-1.0
Crusaders-1.1
Cheetahs-0.9
Waratahs-0.9
Rebels-0.5
Kings-0.3
Force-1.9
-0.7
Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.3
Blues+0.1
Reds-0.2
Chiefs-10.9
-0.9
Bulls*+0.1
Hurricanes*+0.1
Crusaders+0.3
Waratahs+10.9
+1.0
Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.7
Blues-0.8
-0.1
Reds-0.9
Chiefs-1.3
-0.1
Bulls-1.0
-0.1
Sharks-0.8
-0.1
Hurricanes-1.3
-0.1
Stormers-1.0
-0.1
Crusaders+10.6
+1.0
Cheetahs-0.9
-0.1
Waratahs-1.1
-0.1
Rebels-0.4
Kings-0.3
Highlanders-0.3
Reds 19 Brumbies 19
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+0.8
+0.1
Blues-0.2
Reds+0.2
-0.1
Chiefs-0.3
Stormers-0.3
Crusaders-0.2
Cheetahs-0.3
Rebels+0.4
Week of 4/26
Hurricanes vs StormersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes59.844.731.8
5.97.08.0
Stormers26.337.352.5
8.67.66.3
Bulls vs WaratahsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulls69.752.942.4
4.96.27.0
Sharks46.448.347.7
6.86.66.6
Stormers38.740.439.8
7.57.47.4
Cheetahs34.936.636.1
7.77.67.6
Waratahs19.329.244.9
9.28.37.0
Chiefs vs SharksHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chiefs77.765.751.2
4.55.46.5
Bulls56.855.555.1
5.96.06.1
Sharks32.847.261.4
7.86.65.6
Crusaders vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chiefs63.565.265.4
5.65.55.5
Bulls55.156.556.7
Sharks46.146.848.1
Hurricanes44.645.347.0
7.07.06.9
Stormers38.439.440.2
Crusaders50.937.925.2
6.57.68.7
Cheetahs34.535.236.6
Waratahs31.232.732.8
8.18.08.1
Rebels2.14.810.5
12.111.310.4
Cheetahs vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues77.178.278.6
Reds71.872.473.7
4.94.94.8
Chiefs63.564.965.4
5.65.55.5
Bulls54.455.557.5
6.16.05.8
Sharks45.548.148.6
6.86.66.6
Hurricanes44.546.646.9
7.06.96.9
Stormers38.139.040.6
7.57.57.4
Crusaders37.038.539.0
7.67.57.5
Cheetahs48.434.022.8
6.57.78.7
Waratahs31.131.832.9
Kings0.31.13.5
13.112.611.9
Reds vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies82.082.583.0
4.03.83.7
Blues67.880.187.8
5.14.13.3
Reds85.271.660.3
3.85.05.8
Brumbies vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies91.583.973.4
3.03.94.7
Reds71.673.173.8
5.14.74.6
Sharks46.346.748.0
Hurricanes44.845.346.7
Cheetahs34.735.136.4
Waratahs30.932.433.1
8.28.18.0
Force0.00.31.2
13.513.112.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Rhys Stephens for adding this league.