Waratahs Playoff Chances 2013
Did not play, playoff odds down 4.2 to 11.6%
25 points 4-0-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20 | +8.2 | +1.0 | ||
| Kings 0 Bulls 34 | -0.6 | |||
| Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Hurricanes 22 Force 20 | -0.4 | |||
| Reds 19 Brumbies 19 | -0.2 | |||
| Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 4/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bulls vs Waratahs | -5.5+0.2+10.7 | -0.5+0.1+1.0 | ||
| Crusaders vs Rebels | -0.4+0.9+1.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Cheetahs vs Kings | -0.4+0.1+0.9 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Reds vs Blues | -0.5-0.1+0.4 | |||
| Brumbies vs Force | -0.2+0.3+0.5 | |||
| Chiefs vs Sharks | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |||
| Hurricanes vs Stormers | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Waratahs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 48 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 63 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 697,663 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 35 | 31 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 469,760 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 10 | 32 | 7 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6,811,281 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 9 | 29 | 7 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 170,375 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4,893,822 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 34,925 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 97.3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 34,928,750 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,486,211 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 96.6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4,389 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 71.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20,970,801 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 66.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 246,964 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 66.2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 352 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 31.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 98,000,764 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 26.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5,168,213 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 25.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 24,226 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 23.1 | 23 | 23 | 38 | 8 | 8 | 13 | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 47,754,520 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 669,346 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 1,413 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 164,097,637 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 9,159,392 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 48,200 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 22 | 39 | 28 | 6 | 54 | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 47 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62,236,520 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 47 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 864,926 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 18 | 49 | 30 | 1 | 1,855 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 100 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167,536,863 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8,711,137 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 8 | 40 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 40,297 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 13 | 35 | 39 | 13 | 23 | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46,355,077 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 532,643 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 14 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 723 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 0 | 9 | 66 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 101,661,431 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 63 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 4,205,998 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 11,942 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 1 | 39 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 18,237,743 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 1 | 35 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 125,374 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 0 | 24 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 33,497,965 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 19 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 806,056 | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | 4 | 25 | 45 | 26 | 0 | 2,923,282 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | 1 | 12 | 42 | 44 | 1 | 4,730,451 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 11.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 848,119,380 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 5:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
