Reds Playoff Chances 2013
Tied Brumbies 19-19, playoff odds down 2.6 to 69.8%
33 points 6-1-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Reds 19 Brumbies 19 | +3.8 | +0.2 | ||
| Kings 0 Bulls 34 | -1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Hurricanes 22 Force 20 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12 | -0.3 | |||
| Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20 | *-0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 4/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Reds vs Blues | +15.0+2.2-10.2 | +1.0+0.0-0.7 | ||
| Crusaders vs Rebels | -0.7+1.6+2.7 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Cheetahs vs Kings | -0.8+0.1+1.8 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Brumbies vs Force | -0.3+0.5+1.0 | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Bulls vs Waratahs | -0.4+0.2+0.7 | |||
| Hurricanes vs Stormers | +0.5-0.2-0.4 | |||
| Chiefs vs Sharks | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 54 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 91 | 2 | 7 | 8,206,591 | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 72 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 4,499,700 | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 51 | 18 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 51,595,463 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 49 | 16 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 1,067,928 | ||||||||||||||
| 48 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 24 | 20 | 2 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 24,226,756 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 19 | 17 | 2 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 139,128 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 7 | 23 | 6 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 136,098,122 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 60 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4,701,607 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 5 | 18 | 6 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 11,041 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 52,307,843 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 482,827 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 5 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 2 | 520 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 98.2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 191,821,241 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 97.9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7,982,045 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 97.4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 27,725 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 25 | 50 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 77.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57,962,090 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 77.2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 604,157 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 80.4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 799 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 39.7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 156,054,630 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 35.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6,518,634 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 33.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 22,656 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 22.2 | 22 | 33 | 22 | 22 | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 34,752,305 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 323,612 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 343 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 73,278,485 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2,565,524 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5,856 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 10,697,816 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 62,633 | ||||||||||
| 30 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18,365,308 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 387,342 | ||||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 1 | 17 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1,316,917 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 58 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 2,031,723 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 69.8 | % | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 848,119,380 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 5:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
