Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Blues3114-0-35285.8%-3.6222011131185431100003.7-0.167.632Blues
Chiefs305-0-37179.4-5.7111482114108642100004.5-0.309.664Chiefs
Crusaders264-0-45247.3+10.52441013141413118510006.7+0.7110.632Crusaders
Hurricanes275-0-3-717.9-7.011135791215202241008.7-0.5411.483Hurricanes
Highlanders60-0-8-920.0-0.000000025118214.7-0.1414.288Highlanders

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/19
Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues+0.3
Chiefs-8.6
-0.9
Crusaders+0.4
Hurricanes+0.2
-0.1
Hurricanes 22 Force 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues-0.5
Chiefs-0.5
Crusaders-1.1
-0.1
Hurricanes+6.3
+0.6
Highlanders+0.0
Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues-0.4
-0.0
Chiefs-0.6
-0.0
Crusaders+6.0
+0.4
Hurricanes-0.7
-0.0
Highlanders-0.1
Kings 0 Bulls 34
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues-0.5
Chiefs-0.7
Crusaders-1.2
-0.0
Hurricanes-0.9
-0.0
Reds 19 Brumbies 19
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues-0.1
Chiefs-0.2
Crusaders-0.4
-0.0
Hurricanes-0.4
-0.0
Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chiefs-0.1
Crusaders-0.1
-0.1
Hurricanes-0.1
-0.1
Week of 4/26
Crusaders vs RebelsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues85.486.187.4
3.73.63.5
Chiefs78.880.681.6
4.64.44.4
Crusaders52.838.626.6
6.37.28.0
Hurricanes17.518.319.7
8.88.78.6
Hurricanes vs StormersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues86.086.485.6
Chiefs79.580.579.3
Crusaders47.748.846.9
6.76.66.7
Hurricanes27.915.98.9
7.98.89.5
Chiefs vs SharksHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues85.985.685.7
3.83.73.5
Chiefs89.580.368.6
3.74.55.3
Crusaders47.847.546.9
Hurricanes18.017.718.0
Reds vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues75.985.992.4
4.63.83.0
Chiefs78.778.980.0
4.44.54.6
Crusaders46.446.548.1
Hurricanes17.617.918.2
Cheetahs vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues85.386.486.8
Chiefs78.980.280.6
Crusaders46.448.549.2
6.76.66.6
Hurricanes17.418.619.0
8.88.78.6
Highlanders14.714.714.8
Bulls vs WaratahsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues85.586.286.3
Chiefs79.079.880.2
Crusaders46.748.048.4
Hurricanes17.618.718.5
8.78.78.8
Brumbies vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues85.785.986.0
3.73.63.6
Chiefs79.379.679.8
4.54.54.4
Crusaders47.247.547.9
Hurricanes17.8*18.018.5
Highlanders14.714.714.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.