"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Cheetahs Playoff Chances 2013
Beat Sharks 12-6, playoff odds up 8.6 to 24.3%
27 points 6-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12 | +12.7 | +1.1 | ||
| Reds 19 Brumbies 19 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Kings 0 Bulls 34 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Hurricanes 22 Force 20 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 4/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cheetahs vs Kings | +6.3-5.2-13.4 | +0.5-0.3-1.1 | ||
| Crusaders vs Rebels | -0.6+0.5+2.4 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Chiefs vs Sharks | +0.7-0.9-0.7 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Bulls vs Waratahs | -0.6+0.9+1.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Hurricanes vs Stormers | +0.8+0.4-0.7 | |||
| Reds vs Blues | -0.5-0.1+0.4 | |||
| Brumbies vs Force | -0.1*-0.0+0.5 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cheetahs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 52 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 42 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5,348,946 | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 10 | 42 | 30 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3,095,461 | ||||||||||||
| 48 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 3 | 25 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37,836,697 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 782,146 | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.7 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18,975,096 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 97.9 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 109,085 | |||||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 85.0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114,188,206 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 83.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 29 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3,927,256 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 80.4 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 28 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 9,038 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 42.4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 46,871,210 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 35.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 430,651 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 26.8 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 447 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 10.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 184,840,170 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 8.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 7,626,567 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 6.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 26,317 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 17 | 33 | 42 | 8 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 59,583,862 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 614,752 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 828 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 172,761,289 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 42 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7,135,641 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 24,558 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 17 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 40,914,574 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 375,328 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 6 | 38 | 52 | 3 | 370 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 92,822,408 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3,197,143 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 3 | 28 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 7,346 | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 14,333,766 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 82,374 | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26,432,426 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 49 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 548,467 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 1 | 27 | 46 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1,999,932 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 11 | 38 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 3,217,005 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 24.3 | % | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 848,119,380 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 5:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
