Brumbies Playoff Chances 2013 50/50
Tied Reds 19-19, playoff odds down 1.3 to 82.5%
35 points 6-2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Reds 19 Brumbies 19 | +0.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8 | -0.7 | |||
| Hurricanes 22 Force 20 | -0.6 | |||
| Kings 0 Bulls 34 | -0.4 | |||
| Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 4/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Brumbies vs Force | +9.0+1.4-9.1 | +0.8-0.1-0.8 | ||
| Cheetahs vs Kings | -0.7+0.3+0.7 | |||
| Reds vs Blues | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | ||
| Bulls vs Waratahs | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Hurricanes vs Stormers | -0.2+0.6+0.1 | |||
| Crusaders vs Rebels | -0.4+0.1+0.4 | |||
| Chiefs vs Sharks | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Brumbies finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 56 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 1,785,251 | |||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 1 | 1,010,230 | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12,147,741 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 253,120 | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 87 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6,068,432 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 86 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 35,365 | ||||||||||||||
| 48 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 74 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 36,431,242 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 71 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1,264,531 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 69 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 2,955 | |||||||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 44 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 15,176,085 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 44 | 33 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 140,170 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 34 | 38 | 2 | 26 | 159 | |||||||||||||||
| 44 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 22 | 41 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 60,710,126 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 19 | 40 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,530,150 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 17 | 41 | 14 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 8,669 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 67 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20,230,622 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210,290 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 26 | 20 | 34 | 17 | 2 | 286 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 98.1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 20 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60,718,636 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 97.5 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,529,324 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 97.0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 17 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8,650 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 33 | 67 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 77.2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15,177,799 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 76.9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140,381 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 72.2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 162 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 31.3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36,421,371 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 27.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,266,633 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 25.5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2,869 | |||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 3.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6,065,743 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 34,876 | |||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12,152,676 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 251,679 | ||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1,010,586 | ||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 1,783,665 | |||||||||
| Total: | 82.5 | % | 23 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 295,570,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 5:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
