Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPI
Brumbies356-2-18482.5%-1.323171214976432110003.9-0.071Brumbies
Reds336-1-21372.7-1.9141391612107754310004.8-0.193Reds
Waratahs2514-0-4-3032.0-2.124458991011111185208.1-0.138Waratahs
Rebels1912-0-6-966.2-0.70011124561013201914311.2-0.0813Rebels
Force162-0-7-420.6-0.1000000112471425321312.9+0.0415Force

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/19
Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.3
-0.0
Reds-0.2
-0.0
Waratahs+10.9
+1.0
Rebels-0.1
Hurricanes 22 Force 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.6
Reds-0.9
Waratahs-0.9
Rebels-0.5
+0.0
Force-1.9
-0.7
Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.7
Reds-0.9
-0.1
Waratahs-1.1
-0.1
Rebels-0.4
Force-0.1
Kings 0 Bulls 34
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.4
Reds-0.7
Waratahs-0.7
Rebels-0.3
+0.0
Force+0.1
Reds 19 Brumbies 19
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+0.8
+0.1
Reds+0.2
-0.1
Waratahs*+0.1
Rebels+0.4
Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+0.1
Week of 4/26
Bulls vs WaratahsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies82.982.782.1
3.83.83.9
Reds73.073.172.3
Waratahs19.329.244.9
9.28.37.0
Rebels6.36.66.2
Reds vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies82.082.583.0
4.03.83.7
Reds85.271.660.3
3.85.05.8
Waratahs31.531.932.5
8.28.18.0
Rebels6.16.36.4
Brumbies vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies91.583.973.4
3.03.94.7
Reds71.673.173.8
5.14.74.6
Waratahs30.932.433.1
8.28.18.0
Rebels5.86.16.7
11.211.211.3
Force0.00.31.2
13.513.112.4
Crusaders vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies82.182.682.9
Reds71.973.573.4
4.94.84.8
Waratahs31.232.732.8
8.18.08.1
Rebels2.14.810.5
12.111.310.4
Force12.913.013.0
Cheetahs vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies81.882.883.2
Reds71.872.473.7
4.94.94.8
Waratahs31.131.832.9
Rebels5.96.56.6
Force12.913.013.0
Hurricanes vs StormersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies82.383.182.6
Reds72.572.573.0
Waratahs31.732.232.3
Rebels6.26.76.3
Chiefs vs SharksHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies82.4*82.582.6
Reds72.772.872.7
Waratahs31.932.332.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.