Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Brumbies356-2-18496.6%-1.4442413943211000002.3-0.201.694Brumbies
Reds336-1-21369.8-2.66742317121086420005.3-0.063.535Reds
Waratahs2514-0-4-3011.6-4.201123571014212672109.3-0.368.426Waratahs
Rebels1912-0-6-960.1-0.000000000127343123312.7+0.1913.293Rebels
Force162-0-7-420.0-0.00000000014243231713.1+0.2715.392Force

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/19
Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+0.1
Reds*-0.1
+0.0
Waratahs+8.2
+1.0
Rebels-0.1
Force-0.1
Reds 19 Brumbies 19
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.1
Reds+3.8
+0.2
Waratahs-0.2
Kings 0 Bulls 34
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.1
Reds-1.0
-0.0
Waratahs-0.6
Rebels+0.1
Force+0.1
Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.1
Reds-0.8
-0.0
Waratahs-0.6
-0.0
Rebels+0.0
Force+0.0
Hurricanes 22 Force 20
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.1
Reds-0.9
-0.0
Waratahs-0.4
Rebels+0.1
Force-0.1
-0.4
Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+0.1
Reds-0.3
Waratahs-0.1
-0.1
Week of 4/26
Reds vs BluesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies96.396.696.8
2.52.32.2
Reds84.872.059.6
4.35.36.0
Waratahs11.111.511.9
Bulls vs WaratahsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies96.696.896.6
Reds69.470.070.5
Waratahs6.111.822.2
9.99.38.3
Brumbies vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies98.295.491.2
2.02.73.2
Reds69.570.270.7
5.45.15.0
Waratahs11.411.912.1
Rebels12.712.712.9
Force13.213.012.5
Crusaders vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies96.596.797.1
Reds69.171.472.4
5.45.35.2
Waratahs11.212.513.0
9.49.39.3
Rebels0.00.10.4
12.912.512.1
Force13.013.213.2
Cheetahs vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies96.596.896.9
Reds69.069.971.6
5.45.35.3
Waratahs11.211.712.5
9.49.39.2
Rebels12.612.712.8
Force13.013.213.2
Hurricanes vs StormersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brumbies96.696.896.6
Reds70.269.669.4
Waratahs11.6*11.611.5
Chiefs vs SharksHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds70.169.769.4
Waratahs11.711.611.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.