Sunwolves Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Lions 24-37, playoff odds down 3 to 0.9%
6 points 1-0 5 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sunwolves 24 Lions 37 | -2.3 | -0.4 | -0.5 | |||
| Waratahs 20 Crusaders 12 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Bulls 20 Chiefs 56 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Blues 33 Highlanders 26 | +0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| Sharks 28 Rebels 14 | -0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Waratahs vs Sunwolves | -0.4+0.1+1.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.5 | -0.2+0.1+0.7 | |||
| Reds vs Rebels | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||||
What If
Chances based on how well the Sunwolves finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 99.9 | % | 24 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7,376,452 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 98.6 | 11 | 51 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 36,757 | |||||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 91.0 | 1 | 29 | 52 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,218,288 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 86.1 | 1 | 19 | 56 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5,183 | |||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 72.1 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 915,601 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 70.6 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 425 | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 99.9 | 48.2 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39,959,130 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 99.7 | 37.7 | 1 | 36 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 113,256 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 54.2 | 54 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 4 | 24 | |||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 96.3 | 20.2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9,906,576 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 95.2 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 8,092 | * | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 78.1 | 9.8 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286,436,686 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 63.1 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1,057,182 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 63.5 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 348 | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23.3 | 1.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 60,929,065 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 63,457 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14.3 | No | 14 | 43 | 43 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,311,897,017 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5,467,068 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2,297 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 234,147,970 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 268,105 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 5 | Out | No | 2 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 19 | 2 | 48 | ||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 4,000,662,512 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 17,130,001 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 7,759 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 35 | 7 | 581,640,486 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 10 | 656,829 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 5 | Out | No | 1 | 17 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 134 | |||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 17 | 8,206,083,745 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 49 | 21 | 33,253,281 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 24 | 50 | 23 | 14,099 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 931,373,162 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 52 | 933,005 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 5 | Out | No | 7 | 40 | 53 | 159 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 59 | 11,150,018,673 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 38,927,229 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 32 | 65 | 12,801 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 924,884,292 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 709,450 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 5 | Out | No | 19 | 81 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 9,580,746,266 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 25,092,110 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 4 | Out | No | 9 | 91 | 4,748 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 515,666,467 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 7 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 223,369 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 4,691,288,503 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 8 | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 6,812,594 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 122,832,652 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | 0 | Out | No | 100 | 1,000,167,421 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.9 | % | 0.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 55 | 43,790,950,870 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:38 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
