Stormers Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Hurricanes 28-34, playoff odds down 6.5 to 79.9%
14 points 3-0 2 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hurricanes 34 Stormers 28 | -3.6 | -8.3 | -0.5 | |||
| Waratahs 20 Crusaders 12 | -0.7 | +0.4 | -0.0 | |||
| Bulls 20 Chiefs 56 | +0.5 | +4.6 | +0.2 | |||
| Sharks 28 Rebels 14 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -0.0 | |||
| Sunwolves 24 Lions 37 | -0.4 | -1.9 | -0.1 | |||
| Blues 33 Highlanders 26 | +0.3 | +0.4 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Reds vs Brumbies | +0.4+0.3-0.7 | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blues vs Stormers | -7.4+0.9+9.4 | -9.4+2.1+11.9 | -0.8+0.1+1.0 | |||
| Waratahs vs Sunwolves | -0.3+0.6+1.2 | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Reds vs Rebels | +0.2-0.9-0.2 | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Jaguares vs Chiefs | -0.2-0.0+0.6 | -0.1*-0.0+0.3 | ||||
| Sharks vs Bulls | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | -0.3+0.7+0.6 | ||||
| Hurricanes vs Crusaders | -0.0+0.2+0.1 | -0.2+1.5+0.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Stormers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | 46,425,332 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7,202,459 | |||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | Yes | 90 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 426,454,109 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 594,051 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 87 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 69,428,030 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | Yes | 86 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 29,188 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | In | 99.9 | 58 | 35 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1,999,572,871 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | In | 99.9 | 58 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5,023,676 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | Yes | 59 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 906 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | In | 99.7 | 47 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 285,502,225 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | In | 99.6 | 45 | 39 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 212,847 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | In | 95.6 | 15 | 50 | 9 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5,328,967,441 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | In | 95.0 | 13 | 46 | 11 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17,904,853 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | In | 96.3 | 14 | 48 | 12 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 5,906 | ||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | In | 88.7 | 6 | 36 | 16 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 659,662,904 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | In | 87.4 | 6 | 35 | 15 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 648,160 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 59.0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8,972,221,786 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 100.0 | 54.2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 23 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35,325,280 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | In | 57.4 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14,717 | * | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 100.0 | 33.2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 948,644,351 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 100.0 | 31.3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1,070,581 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 99.6 | 9.5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,024,615,159 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 99.4 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42,548,670 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | 99.4 | 7.5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19,965 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 92.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 887,718,239 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | 92.2 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,051,320 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 66.6 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7,588,234,959 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | 58.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32,466,446 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | 57.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15,579 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 547,742,654 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 627,536 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,894,298,678 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15,674,262 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2.2 | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6,723 | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 220,153,467 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 221,854 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 1,329,154,135 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 4,630,786 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 1,579 | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 24 | 3 | 55,246,202 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 42,894 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 10 | 287,716,413 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 42 | 12 | 759,438 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 49 | 28 | 7,821,454 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 8 | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 15 | 48 | 37 | 3,453 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 47 | 35,571,804 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 40 | 52 | 52,825 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 475,162 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 9,167,541 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 79.9 | % | 34.6 | % | 6 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 43,790,950,870 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:38 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
