Rebels Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Sharks 14-28, playoff odds down 11.5 to 79.5%
13 points 3-0 2 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sharks 28 Rebels 14 | -4.1 | -7.4 | -0.6 | |||
| Waratahs 20 Crusaders 12 | -0.6 | -3.9 | -0.1 | |||
| Bulls 20 Chiefs 56 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +0.1 | |||
| Blues 33 Highlanders 26 | +0.3 | +0.1 | ||||
| Sunwolves 24 Lions 37 | -0.2 | |||||
| Hurricanes 34 Stormers 28 | -0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Reds vs Brumbies | +0.3+1.1-0.5 | +0.9+1.7-1.5 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Reds vs Rebels | -9.1+2.4+9.1 | -11.2+3.9+11.2 | -0.9+0.3+0.9 | |||
| Waratahs vs Sunwolves | -0.3+1.1+1.1 | -2.0+7.1+8.2 | -0.1+0.3+0.3 | |||
| Blues vs Stormers | -0.2+1.0+0.3 | +0.3+0.3-0.3 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Jaguares vs Chiefs | -0.3+0.4+0.7 | |||||
| Sharks vs Bulls | -0.1+0.8+0.2 | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Hurricanes vs Crusaders | -0.0+0.2+0.1 | -0.1+0.8+0.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Rebels finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 49,590,612 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7,999,668 | |||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | Yes | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 486,714,154 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 672,576 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 79 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80,056,555 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | Yes | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 33,056 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | In | 100.0 | 54 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2,332,381,834 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | In | 100.0 | 56 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5,803,874 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | Yes | 53 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 1,075 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | In | 99.8 | 34 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 330,638,952 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | In | 99.7 | 26 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 245,409 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | In | 97.7 | 10 | 48 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6,122,428,805 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | In | 98.2 | 10 | 49 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20,440,613 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | In | 98.0 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6,552 | ||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 92.8 | 3 | 35 | 44 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 740,358,942 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | In | 89.7 | 1 | 28 | 50 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 723,378 | * | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | 71.3 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9,787,072,115 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 100.0 | 73.5 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 38,539,773 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | In | 74.1 | 0 | 9 | 60 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16,277 | * | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 100.0 | 55.1 | 0 | 3 | 48 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 998,346,975 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 99.9 | 48.0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 2 | 17 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,130,309 | * | |||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 98.0 | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,067,071,431 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 96.7 | 28.6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 43,065,373 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | 96.2 | 30.9 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 20,493 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 86.5 | 16.6 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 852,847,789 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | 78.2 | 12.6 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,021,219 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 5 | 76.1 | 9.6 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 39 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 230 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 44.5 | 4.4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6,853,606,950 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | 33.3 | 4.8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29,784,675 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | 29.8 | 5.4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14,267 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13.7 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 470,853,038 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 548,928 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3,112,034,583 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12,822,110 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 5,655 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 167,062,030 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 172,792 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 929,715,129 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 3,338,795 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 1,135 | ||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 36,657,765 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 36 | 8 | 29,415 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 47 | 23 | 174,928,244 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 49 | 27 | 478,591 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 47 | 4,516,053 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 8 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 39 | 53 | 2,050 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 18,751,065 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 28,886 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 237,542 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 8,133,133 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 79.5 | % | 47.2 | % | 6 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 43,790,950,870 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:38 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
