Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHome QuarterfinalChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTLDGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Crusaders194-0114997.0%-2.275.5%-13.733125261064211000003.3-1.054.631Crusaders
Hurricanes194-0112496.8+5.574.9+20.931125271064311100003.4+1.372.631Hurricanes
Highlanders132-031-737.9-3.25.5+0.2111367910121312118419.3-0.179.456Highlanders
Blues1012-030-1024.6-4.52.4-0.70002456891213141310410.4-0.3813.456Blues
Chiefs81-041-483.1+2.60.1+0.1000000113471118322313.1+1.1212.369Chiefs

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/22
Blues 33 Highlanders 26
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+0.9
+0.0
Hurricanes+0.2
+1.8
+0.1
Highlanders-10.6
-5.5
-0.8
Blues+5.7
+0.6
+0.6
Chiefs-0.0
Bulls 20 Chiefs 56
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+0.1
+1.1
+0.1
Hurricanes+0.4
+3.0
+0.1
Highlanders+1.1
+0.6
+0.0
Blues+1.1
+0.3
Chiefs+1.3
+0.1
+0.6
Waratahs 20 Crusaders 12
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.7
-5.7
-0.4
Hurricanes-0.5
+1.1
+0.1
Highlanders-1.5
+0.4
-0.1
Blues-1.2
+0.2
-0.1
Chiefs-0.1
Hurricanes 34 Stormers 28
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.6
-0.1
Hurricanes+3.5
+8.7
+0.5
Highlanders-0.1
-0.3
Blues+0.1
-0.2
Sunwolves 24 Lions 37
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.1
-0.5
Hurricanes-0.3
-1.3
-0.0
Highlanders-0.8
-0.3
-0.0
Blues-0.8
-0.2
Chiefs+0.1
Sharks 28 Rebels 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.1
Hurricanes-0.3
-0.5
Highlanders-1.0
-0.1
-0.1
Blues-0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Reds vs BrumbiesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders97.197.096.8
75.875.675.2
Hurricanes96.996.996.6
75.175.074.5
Highlanders38.338.637.3
5.55.55.4
9.39.29.3
Blues25.125.023.8
Chiefs3.23.03.0
Week of 3/29
Blues vs StormersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders97.096.797.0
76.474.474.5
Hurricanes96.896.596.8
75.773.873.9
Highlanders37.939.338.0
5.75.75.2
9.39.29.2
Blues33.120.314.0
3.72.20.8
9.710.711.4
Chiefs13.213.113.1
Hurricanes vs CrusadersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders95.997.299.1
68.977.189.2
3.83.22.3
Hurricanes98.595.393.4
82.867.158.5
2.83.94.6
Highlanders37.838.038.1
5.35.85.7
Blues24.624.824.7
2.33.12.6
Chiefs3.13.03.1
Jaguares vs ChiefsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders96.997.197.1
75.575.675.6
Hurricanes96.896.997.0
74.875.075.0
Highlanders37.539.139.2
9.39.29.2
Blues24.424.625.3
Chiefs1.63.47.3
0.00.10.4
13.513.012.2
Waratahs vs SunwolvesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders96.996.997.3
75.4*75.576.2
Hurricanes96.796.897.1
74.7*74.975.6
Highlanders37.539.539.7
5.45.75.7
9.39.29.2
Blues24.325.126.0
2.42.52.5
Chiefs3.03.33.4
13.113.213.3
Reds vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders76.075.675.1
Hurricanes75.374.874.4
Highlanders37.839.238.0
5.65.65.4
9.39.29.2
Blues24.923.724.3
10.510.510.4
Chiefs3.13.33.1
13.213.113.1
Sharks vs BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders75.675.875.4
Hurricanes74.875.274.9
Highlanders37.838.938.2
5.55.75.4
9.39.29.3
Blues24.724.424.4
Chiefs3.13.13.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.