Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHome QuarterfinalChance will finish regular season at seed
4/22PGW-OTLDGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
CrusadersWStormers 57-24368-000146100.0%+0.166.1%+12.25611022101000002.6+0.692.857Crusaders
Hurricanes357-01021799.7-0.119.0-9.6154036367200004.8-0.435.768Hurricanes
ChiefsWForce 16-7327-0107699.7+0.214.9-2.61140393682000005.0+0.031.768Chiefs
HighlandersWSunwolves 40-15245-0304164.9+18.90.0+0.000014204029510000008.1+0.476.589StormersHighlanders
Blues183-050333.7-1.10.000013124817853210010.6-0.019.411Blues

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/21
Highlanders 40 Sunwolves 15
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Highlanders+3.9
+0.1
Blues-0.5
-0.0
Lions 24 Jaguares 21
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.0
Hurricanes+0.1
Chiefs+0.1
Highlanders+3.0
+0.0
Blues+0.4
Sharks 6 Rebels 6
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes+0.1
+0.1
Chiefs+0.0
Highlanders+1.5
+0.0
Blues+0.7
Hurricanes 56 Brumbies 21
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-1.2
-0.1
Hurricanes+0.4
+2.1
+0.2
Chiefs-0.9
-0.1
Highlanders-0.2
Blues+0.0
Force 7 Chiefs 16
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-2.4
-0.1
Hurricanes-1.1
-0.1
Chiefs+0.3
+3.5
+0.3
Highlanders-0.1
Blues+0.0
Crusaders 57 Stormers 24
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+0.1
+6.5
+0.4
Hurricanes-4.0
-0.2
Chiefs-2.5
-0.1
Blues*No
Week of 4/28
Highlanders vs StormersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes99.699.899.8
Chiefs99.699.899.8
Highlanders77.267.751.9
7.88.18.4
Blues2.54.14.9
Jaguares vs SharksHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes99.699.899.8
Chiefs99.699.899.8
Highlanders59.467.169.7
8.18.08.1
Blues3.43.33.9
Brumbies vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Highlanders65.865.763.5
Blues1.41.97.6
10.910.49.9
Chiefs vs SunwolvesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders65.571.273.5
2.62.42.3
Hurricanes18.721.521.8
4.94.64.6
Chiefs99.899.698.1
15.87.24.6
5.05.55.9
Highlanders64.965.065.5
8.18.18.0
Blues3.73.73.8
Cheetahs vs CrusadersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders99.7100.0100.0
44.452.368.5
3.73.22.5
Hurricanes30.028.417.7
4.44.54.9
Chiefs25.519.313.8
4.64.85.1
Highlanders0.10.00.0
Force vs LionsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders2.52.52.6
Highlanders65.164.964.9
Blues10.610.610.5
Kings vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Highlanders64.965.065.0
Blues10.610.510.5
Reds vs WaratahsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Blues10.610.510.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.