"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Highlanders 57 Stormers 14 +0.9
+1.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cheetahs vs Crusaders+2.9-2.2-2.8
+2.4-2.0-2.4
+1.0-0.2-1.0
Reds vs Waratahs-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Sunwolves+0.1-0.1-0.1
Force vs Lions-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Cheetahs vs Highlanders+2.9-2.2-2.9
+2.4-2.0-2.4
+1.0-0.2-1.0
Hurricanes vs Stormers+1.8-1.4-1.7
+1.9-1.5-1.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bulls vs Crusaders-0.6-0.1+0.6
-0.6-0.1+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sharks vs Force-0.2-0.1+0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Jaguares vs Sunwolves-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chiefs vs Reds+0.1+0.1-0.1
Rebels vs Lions-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cheetahs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal123456789101112131415161718Count
367-00094.0%77.8%17070161051034,350,129
346-00165.747.0041600315258107,507,234
326-01046.737.70231501827224000235,719,300
5-00222.314.1086018323411100720,389
305-01113.011.9066001173826600045,057,288
4-0038.27.7340010383391038,290
285-0208.07.91700423372251000707,142,695
4-0121.11.101002153533132003,591,100
3-0041.01.00118333816301,185
264-0210.80.80100522382681000112,654,930
3-0130.40.4000317363011200151,811
2-005OutNo3273037330
244-0300.40.4000004173330132001,178,546,131
3-022OutNo00192635226107,183,697
2-014OutNo0152336277103,638
223-031OutNo00031431331530150,193,413
2-023OutNo0021129351940228,969
1-015OutNo4273525851
203-040OutNo00021130361731,178,533,044
2-032OutNo001624402457,180,105
1-024OutNo0521402763,585
182-041OutNo000213353713112,655,449
1-033OutNo00110333916152,059
0-025OutNo5533381921
162-050OutNo0002184534707,145,233
1-042OutNo0011344413,590,115
0-034OutNo011042471,135
141-051OutNo0006336145,063,867
0-043OutNo004326337,721
121-060OutNo0011979235,710,576
0-052OutNo011584717,898
100-061OutNo007937,510,799
80-070OutNo029834,335,645
Total:4.5%3.9%022000125781011121413114,815,727,532
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs