Wellington Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 1.6 to 82.4% 13 points 3-0 1 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | +9.6 | | +11.9 | | -3.7 | | +0.5 | | Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | +2.2 | | -1.0 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | | North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | -1.3 | | +0.6 | | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Otago 30 Tasman 27 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | | | -1.3-0.1+1.3 | | -0.5+0.3+0.4 | | | | Auckland vs Waikato | | | -0.4+1.8+0.3 | | | | | | Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | | | +0.4+0.5-0.4 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | +11.1+2.4-11.2 | | +14.8+1.4-14.8 | | -1.8-0.6+1.9 | | +0.5+0.0-0.6 | | Otago vs North Harbour | +2.3+0.8-2.4 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Manawatu vs Canterbury | -1.9-0.6+1.9 | | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +0.9+2.0-1.0 | | +0.8+0.5-0.8 | | +0.3-0.3-0.3 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | -1.4+1.1+1.3 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Tasman vs Northland | +0.9-0.4-0.8 | | -0.9+0.4+0.9 | | -0.3+0.4+0.3 | | | | Waikato vs Taranaki | | | +0.2+1.9-0.3 | | | | | | Auckland vs Counties Manukau | | | -0.5+0.4+0.5 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Wellington finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 80 | 20 | | | | | | No | 3,011,411 | | 34 | | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 52 | 48 | | | | | | No | 781,621 | | 32 | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 47 | 52 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 17,839,256 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 100.0 | | 47 | 53 | 1 | | | | | No | 85,189 | | 30 | | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 99.4 | | 18 | 77 | 5 | 0 | | | | No | 3,903,857 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 99.4 | | 17 | 79 | 4 | 0 | | | | No | 4,994 | | 28 | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 86.4 | | 12 | 70 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 44,580,456 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | | 88.7 | | 12 | 71 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 342,012 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 91.1 | | 16 | 66 | 16 | 2 | | | | No | 168 | | 26 | | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 99.9 | | 52.3 | | 2 | 60 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 7,806,826 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 99.9 | | 48.8 | | 2 | 60 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 15,022 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | 66.7 | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | No | 3 | | 24 | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 98.4 | | 5.7 | | 0 | 30 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | No | 59,449,020 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 98.5 | | 6.8 | | 0 | 31 | 49 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | No | 513,349 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 98.8 | | 6.3 | | 1 | 32 | 47 | 20 | 1 | | | No | 332 | | 22 | | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 93.3 | | 0.3 | | | 13 | 45 | 36 | 7 | 0 | | No | 7,811,208 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 93.2 | | 0.3 | | | 12 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 0 | | No | 14,984 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | In | No | | | 67 | 33 | | | | No | 3 | | 20 | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 68.2 | | 0.0 | | | 2 | 20 | 47 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 44,597,202 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 68.9 | | No | | 2 | 20 | 47 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | | 342,553 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 62.1 | | No | | 3 | 22 | 37 | 37 | 1 | | No | 161 | | 18 | | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 39.2 | | No | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 0.5 | | 3,906,982 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 38.8 | | No | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0.6 | | 5,046 | | 16 | | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9.1 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 5 | 10.2 | | 17,838,424 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8.8 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 5 | 10.1 | | 84,926 | | 14 | | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1.1 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 56 | 22 | 48.4 | | 781,156 | | 12 | | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 5 | 45 | 51 | 79.8 | | 3,012,063 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 82.4 | % | 33.2 | % | 8 | 32 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2.1 | % | 216,728,224 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |