Waikato Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 2.3 to 60.7%
10 points 2-0 1 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Otago 30 Tasman 27 | +2.8 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | -2.7 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||||
| Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | +2.4 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | +0.9 | +0.3 | ||||||
| Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Auckland vs Waikato | -14.9*+0.1+15.0 | -13.6-1.2+13.6 | +3.1-0.8-3.1 | -0.7+0.0+0.7 | ||||
| Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | -0.5-1.0+0.6 | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | +0.0+1.3-0.1 | -1.3+0.9+1.3 | -0.6-0.3+0.6 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Waikato vs Taranaki | +14.9-0.3-14.9 | +13.6-1.3-13.5 | -3.1-0.7+3.1 | +0.7-0.0-0.7 | ||||
| Tasman vs Northland | -2.7-1.4+2.8 | -0.8-0.4+0.8 | -0.4+0.6+0.4 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | +1.1+0.9-1.1 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | *+0.0-0.5+0.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Manawatu vs Canterbury | +1.0+0.4-1.0 | -0.1+2.0+0.0 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Auckland vs Counties Manukau | +0.6-1.2-0.5 | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | ||||||
| Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | -0.8-1.3+0.8 | -0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||||||
| Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +0.8-0.3-0.7 | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | ||||||
| Otago vs North Harbour | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Waikato finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | |||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 1,493,981 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 445,616 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 82 | 18 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,182,577 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | Yes | 86 | 14 | 0 | No | 58,536 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | 67 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,675,768 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 99.9 | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | No | 4,390 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 98.0 | 34 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 30,537,448 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | 98.1 | 37 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 292,674 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 97.1 | 38 | 47 | 14 | 1 | No | 209 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 99.7 | 78.3 | 13 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,684,334 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 99.7 | 79.6 | 13 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 0 | No | 17,300 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | Yes | 50 | 50 | No | 8 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 95.9 | 31.7 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 50,917,355 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 96.1 | 30.9 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 586,428 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 96.2 | 29.9 | 2 | 22 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 0 | No | 586 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 74.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 8,911,221 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 73.6 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 24 | 3 | 0 | No | 25,759 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | In | No | 67 | 33 | No | 6 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 42.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0.0 | % | 50,909,146 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 45 | 13 | 1 | No | 586,137 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 42.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 36 | 46 | 11 | 1 | No | 521 | |||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 4 | 0.0 | 6,678,958 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9.7 | No | 0 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 5 | 0.0 | 17,000 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 5 | Out | No | 50 | 25 | 25 | No | 4 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.1 | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 19 | 1.6 | 30,545,893 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1.9 | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 18 | 1.7 | 292,698 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1.2 | No | 1 | 24 | 58 | 16 | 3.6 | 165 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 7 | 55 | 38 | 22.5 | 2,676,687 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 54 | 40 | 23.8 | 4,192 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 32 | 66 | 60.1 | 10,185,762 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 35 | 63 | 61.0 | 59,090 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 19 | 81 | 89.3 | 445,606 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | 98.9 | 1,492,168 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 60.7 | % | 30.8 | % | 11 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 4.2 | % | 216,728,224 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
