Taranaki Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 2.1 to 75.1%
14 points 3-0 1 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | +12.4 | +12.1 | -3.1 | +0.5 | ||||
| Otago 30 Tasman 27 | +2.6 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | +2.1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | |||||
| North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | +1.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -0.3 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | -13.5+1.3+13.4 | -15.7+0.4+15.7 | +0.8-0.3-0.8 | -0.6+0.1+0.6 | ||||
| Auckland vs Waikato | +0.4-0.9-0.4 | -0.3*+0.0+0.3 | ||||||
| Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | +0.0+1.1-0.1 | -1.5+1.0+1.4 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Waikato vs Taranaki | -13.3+0.9+13.2 | -15.5-0.1+15.5 | +0.8-0.3-0.8 | -0.6+0.0+0.6 | ||||
| Tasman vs Northland | -2.4-1.3+2.5 | -0.9-0.4+0.9 | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | +0.9+0.7-0.9 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |||||
| Auckland vs Counties Manukau | +0.6-1.1-0.5 | -0.2-0.3+0.2 | ||||||
| Manawatu vs Canterbury | +0.8+0.4-0.8 | -0.2+2.4+0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | -1.0-1.6+1.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +0.9-0.4-0.9 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Otago vs North Harbour | +0.3-0.3-0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Taranaki finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | |||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 3,011,140 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 780,883 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 82 | 18 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,839,173 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | Yes | 86 | 14 | 0 | No | 85,883 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 100.0 | 68 | 30 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,900,759 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 99.9 | 67 | 30 | 2 | 0 | No | 5,075 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 98.2 | 34 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 44,590,786 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | 98.4 | 38 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 340,659 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 98.8 | 42 | 46 | 11 | 1 | No | 169 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 99.7 | 78.7 | 14 | 45 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,812,391 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 99.7 | 79.0 | 13 | 45 | 35 | 7 | 0 | No | 15,053 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | 60.0 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 20 | No | 5 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 96.2 | 31.5 | 2 | 22 | 47 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 59,456,185 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 96.4 | 32.4 | 2 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 513,585 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 99.1 | 36.5 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 30 | 1 | No | 326 | ||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 75.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 7,810,967 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 75.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | No | 15,105 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 50.0 | No | 50 | 50 | No | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 43 | 13 | 0 | No | 44,585,646 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 13 | 0 | No | 342,209 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 46.4 | No | 1 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 16 | 1 | No | 153 | |||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 3 | 0.0 | % | 3,906,191 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10.5 | No | 0 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 4 | 0.0 | 5,061 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.6 | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 54 | 15 | 1.3 | 17,829,938 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2.1 | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 56 | 16 | 1.5 | 85,469 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 8 | 62 | 29 | 18.1 | 781,482 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 42 | 56 | 48.8 | 3,013,929 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 75.1 | % | 43.8 | % | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0.9 | % | 216,728,224 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
