Counties Manukau Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 60.4%
12 points 2-0 2 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | -11.5 | -14.2 | +1.8 | -0.5 | ||||
| Otago 30 Tasman 27 | +2.9 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | -2.4 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||||
| North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | +0.6 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | +15.4+1.7-15.4 | +14.4-1.8-14.4 | -2.2-1.0+2.2 | +0.7+0.0-0.7 | ||||
| Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | -0.8-1.3+0.9 | -1.3-0.8+1.3 | -0.6+0.4+0.6 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Auckland vs Waikato | +0.5+0.4-0.5 | -0.4+0.5+0.3 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Auckland vs Counties Manukau | -15.4+1.5+15.3 | -14.4-2.0+14.5 | +2.2-1.0-2.2 | -0.7-0.0+0.7 | ||||
| Tasman vs Northland | -3.2+2.1+3.1 | -0.7+0.5+0.7 | -0.5-0.4+0.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Manawatu vs Canterbury | +1.5-1.1-1.4 | +0.4-1.2-0.4 | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | +0.6-0.2-0.6 | -0.1+0.8+0.0 | ||||||
| Waikato vs Taranaki | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | +0.3+0.3-0.3 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | -0.7+1.4+0.6 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | ||||||
| Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +0.8+0.5-0.8 | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | ||||||
| Otago vs North Harbour | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Counties Manukau finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | |||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 3,010,892 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 86 | 13 | 0 | No | 780,448 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 71 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 17,836,614 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 100.0 | 71 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 85,466 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 98.4 | 38 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,905,492 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 98.5 | 43 | 47 | 10 | 0 | No | 5,114 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 99.8 | 79.8 | 15 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 44,588,822 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 99.8 | 79.4 | 15 | 47 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 342,697 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 99.4 | 81.0 | 16 | 45 | 32 | 7 | 1 | No | 158 | ||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 96.1 | 32.9 | 2 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,810,373 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 95.8 | 32.5 | 2 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 4 | 0 | No | 14,885 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | 66.7 | 33 | 33 | 33 | No | 3 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 75.2 | 1.8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | No | 59,467,302 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 76.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 513,187 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 77.4 | 2.8 | 4 | 29 | 44 | 21 | 2 | No | 327 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 43 | 14 | 1 | No | 7,810,349 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 1 | No | 15,104 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33.3 | No | 33 | 33 | 33 | No | 3 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 44 | 4 | 0.0 | % | 44,576,446 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 3 | 0.0 | 341,324 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10.9 | No | 1 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 6 | No | 175 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.9 | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 58 | 18 | 1.2 | 3,907,054 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | No | 1 | 18 | 61 | 20 | 1.4 | 4,978 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 17.0 | 17,831,282 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 7 | 63 | 30 | 16.6 | 85,153 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 50.0 | 781,862 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | Out | No | 33 | 67 | 78.5 | 3,012,714 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 60.4 | % | 30.0 | % | 11 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 2.7 | % | 216,728,224 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
